ECB could hike rates or pause at next meeting: Lagarde

Decisions would be based on the latest economic and financial data, said European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde. PHOTO: REUTERS

FRANKFURT - The European Central Bank (ECB) could hike interest rates again or pause at its next meeting, and any decision will depend on the latest data, said its president Christine Lagarde.

The central bank for the 20 countries that use the euro lifted borrowing costs for the ninth consecutive time last Thursday as it fights stubbornly high inflation.

But in comments after the meeting, Ms Lagarde fuelled expectations that the ECB may finally pause its historic hiking campaign soon, saying she had an open mind about future decisions.

In an interview with French daily Le Figaro published on Sunday, she stressed that no decision had yet been made about what the ECB will do at its next meeting on Sept 14.

“I hear some people say that the final rate hike will take place in September,” she said.

“There could be a further hike of the policy rate or perhaps a pause. A pause, whenever it occurs, in September or later, would not necessarily be definitive.

“Inflation must return durably to its target.”

Decisions would be based on the latest economic and financial data, she said.

The ECB is due to release its latest forecasts, including for euro zone growth and inflation, at the September meeting.

Inflation has been slowing but still came in at 5.5 per cent in June – well above the ECB’s 2 per cent target.

But there have been growing concerns about the impact of rate hikes after the euro zone slipped into recession around the turn of the year, with the economy shrinking for two straight quarters.

But Ms Lagarde said second-quarter economic growth data for Germany, France and Spain, released last Friday, was “quite encouraging”.

The French and Spanish economies both grew more than expected. The German economy – Europe’s biggest – stagnated, despite expectations for a slight rebound.

Ms Lagarde also shrugged off criticism coming from leaders of some countries, such as Italy, about the rate increases.

“As a central banker, you need to have a thick skin,” she said.

“And it’s essential to keep sight of the objective of lowering inflation and to be as clear as possible about the tools deployed and the intended results.” AFP

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