WASHINGTON – Retail sales in the United States fell more than analysts anticipated in January, bogged down by weak auto sales and lower gas prices, government data showed on Feb 15.

The 0.8 per cent decline missed analyst expectations, bringing total sales down to US$700.3 billion (S$942.4 billion), said the Commerce Department.

This came after a strong showing in the consumer sector in 2023 – helped by labour market resilience – supporting economic growth.

A larger than expected slowdown in spending, if it persists, could dim hopes that consumption continues its role as a key economic driver.

“The big picture here remains that consumers’ spending was remarkably strong for much of last year, but some softening seems inevitable this year,” said analysts at Pantheon Macroeconomics in a recent report.

Excluding the auto sector, retail sales fell 0.6 per cent in January from December – a development analysts attribute to higher rates on loans and the unwinding of pent-up demand after supply chain problems were resolved.

Removing petrol stations, sales were down 0.8 per cent over the same period.

Besides motor vehicles and parts dealers, who saw sales drop by 1.7 per cent, sales at petrol stations retreated 1.7 per cent as well, the latest Commerce Department data showed.

Other areas showing weakness included building material and supplies dealers, as well as health and personal care stores.

But spending at restaurants and bars continued to hold up, expanding 0.7 per cent.

The weakening in spending now comes as excess savings have “dwindled significantly, and real after-tax income growth is slowing”, according to Pantheon.

“But a gradual moderation seems much more likely than a collapse, given the recent upturn in consumers’ confidence,” the economists’ report said. AFP