Japan export growth slows as US-bound shipments fall

The Oi container yard of the Tokyo port. PHOTO: AFP

TOKYO (REUTERS) - Japan's export growth slowed more than expected in July as shipments to the United States fell for a second straight month, with the automotive sector down sharply as global trade disputes cast doubts over the strength of foreign demand.

Ministry of Finance (MOF) data out on Thursday (Aug 16) showed exports rose 3.9 per cent year-on-year in July, far below a 6.3 per cent increase expected by economists in a Reuters poll. The rise followed a 6.7 per cent year-on-year gain in June.

Japan's exports to the United States fell 5.2 per cent year-on-year in July, down for a second straight month, due to a 12.1 per cent decline in car shipments.

Imports from the United States rose 11.0 per cent in the year to July, led by crude oil, motors and liquefied petroleum gas.

As a result, Japan's trade surplus with the United States fell 22.1 per cent year-on-year to 502.7 billion yen (S$6.25 billion).

Exports to China, Japan's largest trading partner, rose 11.9 per cent in July from a year ago, while shipments to Asia, which account for more than half of Japan's overall exports, rose 8.0 per cent.

In terms of volume, which strips out the impact of currency moves, Japan's exports rose an annual 0.8 per cent in July, up for a fifth straight month.

Overall imports rose 14.6 per cent in the year to July, roughly matching economists' median estimate, resulting in a trade deficit of 231.2 billion yen, vastly exceeding the expected 50 billion yen.

Thursday's trade figures came after gross domestic product (GDP) data last week showed Japan's economy, the world's third largest, rebounded in the second quarter from a January-March dip.

However, global trade tensions cloud the outlook for Japan's export-reliant economy, and market turmoil stemming from some emerging economies may boost the safe-haven yen, undermining the country's export competitiveness.

US President Donald Trump has made the threat of heavy tariffs a key part of his economic message, lamenting the US auto sector trade deficit, particularly with Germany and Japan.

Analysts say global economic growth is likely to support Japan's exports, but international trade conflicts are an ever-present risk. The impact on the broader economy from higher US tariffs on Japanese automotive exports would be significant, they say.

Japan's economy grew at an annualised rate of 1.9 per cent in the second quarter on the back of household and business spending, recovering from an earlier contraction.

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