Michael Bloomberg surges in poll, qualifies for US Democratic debate in Las Vegas

The survey was the fourth national qualifying poll since mid-January that showed Michael Bloomberg with at least 10 per cent support. PHOTO: AFP

WASHINGTON (NYTIMES) - Former New York mayor Michael Bloomberg has qualified for Wednesday's (Feb 19) debate in Las Vegas, the first time the billionaire will appear on stage alongside his Democratic presidential rivals.

A national poll from NPR, PBS NewsHour and Marist released on Tuesday showed Mr Bloomberg with 19 per cent support among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, putting him in second place behind Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who had 31 per cent. That was a substantial surge since the group's poll in December, when Mr Bloomberg received only 4 per cent support.

The survey was the fourth national qualifying poll since mid-January that showed Mr Bloomberg with at least 10 per cent support, enough to earn him an invitation to the debate stage before the Tuesday deadline.

Mr Bloomberg will face off against Mr Sanders; senators Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota; former vice-president Joe Biden; and Mr Pete Buttigieg, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana.

The debate, which will air on Wednesday at 9pm Eastern time (Thursday, 10am Singapore time), will be hosted by NBC News, MSNBC and The Nevada Independent.

Mr Bloomberg's 19 per cent mark was his highest level of support in any debate-qualifying national poll to date. The latest national polling average calculated by The New York Times, which was released late last week, put him at 10 per cent nationally, behind Mr Sanders, Mr Biden and Ms Warren.

Mr Sanders' support has also increased since the NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll in December, when he had 22 per cent. The new poll is the first debate-qualifying national poll released this year showing Sanders with more than 30% support.

In the new poll, Mr Biden had 15 per cent, Ms Warren 12 per cent, Ms Klobuchar 9 per cent and Mr Buttigieg 8 per cent. The poll surveyed 527 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents by phone from Feb 13 to 16, and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

Latecomer

Mr Bloomberg formally entered the race in November 2019, nearly a year after most of the other candidates.

He failed to make the cut for the past several debates in part because he is not accepting outside contributions for his campaign. But new rules announced by the Democratic National Committee opened the door to his participation, as they enabled candidates to qualify for the Las Vegas debate, as well as the one that will take place on Feb 25 in Charleston, South Carolina, without meeting a donor threshold.

Mr Bloomberg's campaign manager, Mr Kevin Sheekey, confirmed in a statement on Tuesday that Mr Bloomberg would take part in the next debate.

"Mike is looking forward to joining the other Democratic candidates onstage and making the case for why he's the best candidate to defeat Donald Trump and unite the country," Mr Sheekey said.

"The opportunity to discuss his workable and achievable plans for the challenges facing this country is an important part of the campaign process."

Also on Tuesday, Monmouth University released a poll of Virginia voters showing Mr Bloomberg and Mr Sanders tied at 22 per cent each and leading the field. With 99 delegates at stake, Virginia is the fourth-largest prize on the Super Tuesday calendar, and Monmouth's is the first poll to have been taken there since the summer.

It is one of the first polls of any state in which Mr Bloomberg has broken 20 per cent, reflecting the intense focus that he has put on the states that vote on March 3. (The Virginia poll has no effect on qualifications for this week's debate.)

Mr Tom Steyer, the other billionaire seeking the Democratic nomination, has participated in the five most recent debates, but he is unlikely to be on stage in Las Vegas. He would need to receive 10 per cent support in four national qualifying polls, or 12 per cent in two polls taken in Nevada or South Carolina, before the deadline.

Representative Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii, the only other candidate still in the race, has not reached the threshold in any qualifying polls, either.

Candidates are also able to qualify for the Nevada and South Carolina debates by winning at least one delegate in the Iowa or New Hampshire contests; that is the path Ms Klobuchar and Mr Buttigieg, who have not met either polling threshold, followed to get their invitations to the stage in Las Vegas.

Rising popularity

Mr Bloomberg has spent more than US$300 million (S$418 million) on TV advertising nationwide - more than the rest of the field combined.

He decided to skip the first four nominating contests, held in states where campaigns traditionally spend a year organising supporters, to focus instead on the delegate-rich primaries that take place beginning on Super Tuesday, March 3.

Mr Bloomberg has seen his standing steadily rise in national polling as voters have been saturated by his television advertising. His rivals have been torn between attacking him and battling one another in the early-state contests.

Now Mr Bloomberg is certain to be the target of onstage attacks from his rivals, especially Mr Sanders and Ms Warren, the two candidates who are not appearing at private fundraisers and who have made cultivating the wrath of billionaires central to their campaigns.

Last week in Virginia, Ms Warren told supporters that Mr Bloomberg should not be the Democratic Party's nominee because of his past remarks linking the end of redlining, a discriminatory housing practice, to the financial crisis.

Over the weekend other Democrats joined in.

Mr Sanders told a crowd in Carson City, Nevada, that Americans were "sick and tired of billionaires buying elections". Mr Biden attacked Mr Bloomberg's record as mayor on NBC's Meet the Press. And Ms Klobuchar denounced Mr Bloomberg for not sitting for as many interviews with the news media as she had.

Mr Bloomberg, who has emerged in recent years as a leading financial benefactor for Democratic candidates and some liberal causes, such as gun control and environmental protection, entered politics as a Republican when he first ran for mayor in 2001.

He endorsed President George W. Bush and spoke at the 2004 Republican National Convention.

He has backed other Republicans as well, including Senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts, who was ousted by Ms Warren in 2012, and Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, a gun control ally, in 2016.

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