DeSantis is quietly starting to build his off-ramp from 2024

CHARLESTON – After a humbling loss in Iowa, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is starting to signal that he is building an off-ramp from the race for the Republican presidential nomination, a seeming acknowledgment of his dim prospects of defeating Donald Trump, given his low poll numbers in New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Mr DeSantis has cast his eyes forward to 2028, with anecdotes about Trump supporters saying they would vote for him next time around if he runs again in four years. He has conceded that

Trump’s thumping victory in Iowa on Jan 15

made for a “good showing in terms of him winning the nomination”. And he has openly admitted that he believes he made a strategic mistake by icing out traditional media earlier in the campaign.

It all amounted to a kind of frankness that Mr DeSantis has not always shown in his public comments about the nominating contest – and a marked change in tone for a candidate who spent most of 2023 brashly promising he would win Iowa, which he lost by 30 points.

On Jan 18, conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt asked Mr DeSantis if his campaign would survive till end-March. The Florida governor replied that things were not necessarily going to plan.

“Look, my goal is to win the nomination. Had we won Iowa, we would have been in a great spot,” Mr DeSantis said, before suggesting there would be no point in staying in the race if it were to become clear that he could not win.

“I don’t want to be V-P. I don’t want to be in the Cabinet. I don’t want a TV show,” he said. “I’m in it to win it, and at some point, if that’s not working out for you, I recognise that. This isn’t a vanity thing for me.”

Mr DeSantis’ comments hint that a hard truth is setting in: Trump may be about to run away with the race. Mr DeSantis is polling so badly in New Hampshire, which votes on Jan 23, that he is spending the weekend campaigning in South Carolina, which holds its primary a month later and is where he thinks he has a better shot. In both states, he is trailing Mrs Nikki Haley, a former governor of South Carolina.

Mr Andrew Romeo, the DeSantis campaign’s communications director, reiterated that Mr DeSantis was in the race “for the long haul” through South Carolina and beyond. His best hope of continuing to compete, his aides have said, is for Mrs Haley to lose her home state on Feb 24 and drop out, leaving Mr DeSantis with a one-on-one contest against Trump. “No one will be funding a bubble-wrapped candidate who can’t win her home state,” Mr Romeo argued.

But Super Tuesday, when 16 states and territories vote on March 5, is well set up for Trump to dominate, polling shows, even in a two-person race against Mr DeSantis. In that case, Mr DeSantis may be looking at running again in 2028, the year after his term as governor ends.

In South Carolina on Jan 16, Mr DeSantis said Trump voters in Iowa had told him they would support him in four years. “They were coming up to me saying, ‘We want you in 2028. We love you, man’,” he told reporters.

He made similar comments during an interview with NBC News, saying: “I had people come up to me saying, ‘I love you, man. I’m going to do Trump this time and you next time.’ That’s not what I wanted to hear, but being there, we did make an impression, and it’s important.”

And during his interview with Mr Hewitt, he praised Trump’s performance, saying: “Clearly, when you win Iowa by the amount he did, that’s what you want to be doing if you’re going to win the nomination.”

He then expressed regret for his campaign’s early strategy of limiting his media appearances to Fox News and other conservative outlets, acknowledging that he failed to reach a wide enough group of voters.

“I should have just been blanketing. I should have gone on all the corporate shows. I should have gone on everything,” he said in a moment of introspection. “We had an opportunity, I think, to come out of the gate and do that and reach a much broader folk.”

Although he shaped his image in Florida as a conservative warrior by beating up on the traditional media, he and his team have lately turned on Fox too, accusing it of being in the bag for the former president.

Mr DeSantis, who for months has campaigned relentlessly and without complaint, also indicated this week that the rigours of the trail were beginning to wear him down – a rare admission. On the morning of Jan 16, he woke up in Iowa after his bruising defeat in the caucuses, flew to South Carolina for a rally and a news conference, and then travelled to New Hampshire for an evening townhall event on CNN.

The next day, after two more campaign events in New Hampshire, a tired-looking Mr DeSantis confessed to reporters that it had been “a tough stretch”.

“By the time I walked out on that stage last night for CNN, I mean, it was adrenaline,” Mr DeSantis said. “And I was like, ‘All right, we got to get through this.’” NYTIMES