Thinking Aloud

Did Trump's Iran gamble pay off?

Some short-term gains made, but the final cost of Soleimani's killing will take some time to tally

The world may never know whether the decision by US President Donald Trump to kill Iranian military and intelligence chief Qassem Soleimani was the result of thorough strategic planning or a sudden impulse. But it's clear that the move is a gamble that could still play out in many different ways.

The question at the moment - with the situation seemingly on hold after both Iran and the US have made their moves - is whether Mr Trump might have come out on top.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Sunday Times on January 12, 2020, with the headline 'Did Trump's Iran gamble pay off?'. Print Edition | Subscribe