Ukraine’s military spy chief expects Russia’s offensive to fizzle by spring

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Major General Kyrylo Budanov, chief of the Military Intelligence of Ukraine, speaks during an interview with Reuters, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine July 6, 2023. REUTERS/Valentyn Ogirenko/File Photo

Lt-Gen Kyrylo Budanov played down Russian forces’ gains, saying they had only achieved “a few advances across some fields“ and near the embattled town of Avdiivka.

PHOTO: REUTERS

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- The head of Ukrainian military intelligence said on Jan 30 he expected Russia’s offensive on the eastern front line to fizzle out by early spring.

Moscow stepped up its attacks in the north-eastern section of the front line last autumn, seeking to encircle bastions such as the town of Avdiivka.

The Ukrainian military said it was in “active defence” while carrying out counter-attacks.

“(Russia’s) offensive is still ongoing. Somewhere in early spring, it will be exhausted completely,” Lieutenant-General Kyrylo Budanov, head of Ukraine’s military intelligence agency GUR, said on national TV.

Lt-Gen Budanov played down the Russian forces’ gains, saying they had only achieved “a few advances across some fields” and near the embattled town of Avdiivka.

“Now it’s the enemy’s move. It will end, and I think ours will start,” he added.

Ukraine’s own counteroffensive, lunched in June 2023, has not produced any major breakthrough. Ukrainian officials have blamed extensive Russian minefields and defensive lines, and delays in supplies of weapons from the West.

Ukrainian military officials have spoken recently of increased Russian military activity on long stretches of the 1,000km-long front line through eastern and southern Ukraine.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly said his forces will achieve all their aims in what Moscow calls its “special military operation” in Ukraine, now in its 24th month.

President Putin says he sent troops into Ukraine to buttress Russia’s own security against what he casts as a hostile and aggressive West.

Kyiv and its Western allies say this is nonsense and that Moscow is engaged in an unprovoked war of aggression and an imperial-style land grab. REUTERS

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