LONDON (REUTERS) - Prime Minister Boris Johnson implicitly warned lawmakers on Monday (Sept 2) that he would seek an election if they tied his hands on Brexit, ruling out ever countenancing a further delay to Britain’s departure from the European Union.
“I want everybody to know there are no circumstances in which I will ask Brussels to delay: we are leaving on 31st October, no ifs or buts,” Mr Johnson said in a hastily organised statement at a lectern outside No. 10 Downing Street.
“We will not accept any attempt to go back on our promises,” he added. “I don’t want an election. You don’t want an election. Let’s get on with the people’s agenda.”
Opponents of a no-deal exit say it would be a disaster for the economy, while Brexit supporters are eager to cut Britain free from what they see as a doomed experiment in integration that has seen Europe fall behind China and the United States.
Mr Johnson, the face of the Vote Leave campaign in the 2016 referendum, said that if lawmakers voted to delay Brexit they would “plainly chop the legs out from under the UK position and make any further negotiation absolutely impossible”.
If Parliament defeats the government on Brexit, a vote on holding an election - the third general election in a little over four years - will be held on Wednesday with an election date of Oct 14, according to a senior government source.
Britain’s former justice minister David Gauke said in a newspaper column that he intends to vote against his party on Tuesday.
“The national interest must come first. Leaving the EU without a deal on Oct 31 would damage our prosperity, security and risk the integrity of the United Kingdom,” Mr Gauke wrote in The Times.
“Today I will vote against my party’s whip for the first time in over 14 years as a member of Parliament,” he wrote.
British conservative MPs have been warned that their party whip would be withdrawn if they attempt to block a no-deal Brexit, effectively meaning that they would be expelled from the party.
Britain’s Brexit dilemma is its most consequential political decision since World War II.
Mr Johnson’s promise to take the UK out of the EU on Oct 31 with or without a divorce deal has propelled the nation towards constitutional crisis and confrontation with the bloc’s 27 other members.
With less than 60 days before a possible no-deal exit, an alliance of opposition lawmakers are plotting with rebels in Mr Johnson’s ruling Conservative Party to block that and force him to delay Brexit for three months.
But Mr Johnson, who made his name as an EU-bashing journalist in Brussels before entering politics, said he would never do that, after his predecessor Theresa May twice postponed Brexit.
The intervention by Mr Johnson was part of the high-stakes political chess game over Brexit ahead of Parliament’s return from its summer break on Tuesday.
Rebels and opponents of the government say Mr Johnson is betting on an election that he will cast as being forced on him by opponents of Brexit in Parliament.
Lawmakers opposed to a no-deal Brexit will seek on Tuesday to take control of parliamentary time on Wednesday to pass legislation which would force Mr Johnson to seek a three-month delay to Brexit.
More than three years since the UK voted 52 per cent to 48 per cent to leave the EU, it is still unclear on what terms, or indeed whether, Brexit will take place.
After Mr Johnson’s enforcers warned rebels they would be kicked out of the party if they defied him, speculation mounted he would call for an election just days before an EU summit due on Oct 17-18.
Under British law, two-thirds of lawmakers must support holding an early election, and Mr Johnson is not certain to get that backing.
The UK has held a variety of extraordinary votes in recent years. In 2014, Scots rejected independence in a referendum; in 2015, then Prime Minister David Cameron won a surprise majority on a pledge to hold an EU referendum but lost the referendum the following year.
After winning the top job in the chaos following the referendum, Mrs May bet on a 2017 snap election but lost her majority. Mr Johnson took over from her in July after she failed three times to get a Brexit deal through Parliament.
NO-DEAL BREXIT CLOSER
The default position is that Britain will leave on Oct 31 without a deal unless a divorce agreement is struck with the bloc and ratified by the British Parliament or legislation is passed to delay or revoke the departure notice.
J.P. Morgan said in a research note it believed Monday’s developments made a no-deal more likely, as it increased the chances of an election and opinion polls suggest Mr Johnson could win an election campaigning for a no-deal mandate.
Mr Johnson, 55, has cast rebels as EU “collaborators” who are undermining the government’s negotiating hand in seeking a withdrawal agreement by blunting his threat of a no-deal Brexit.
“Their (the government’s) strategy, to be honest, is to lose this week and then seek a general election,” said Mr David Gauke, a former justice minister who is one of the rebel Conservative lawmakers.
Mr Johnson has a working majority of just one seat in the 650-seat lower house of Parliament, and British media suggested about 20 Conservative lawmakers were prepared to rebel against him.
An election would open up three main options: a Brexit-supporting government under Mr Johnson, a Labour government led by veteran socialist Jeremy Corbyn or a hung Parliament that could lead to a coalition or minority government of some kind.