BERLIN (NYTIMES) - German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who staked her legacy on welcoming hundreds of thousands of migrants into Germany, agreed on Monday (July 2) to build border camps for asylum-seekers and to tighten the border with Austria in a political deal to save her government.
It was a spectacular turnabout for a leader who was once seen as the standard-bearer of the liberal European order but who has come under intense pressure at home from the far right and from conservatives in her governing coalition over her migration policy.
Although the move to appease the conservatives exposed her growing political weakness, Merkel will limp on as chancellor. For how long is unclear. The nationalism and anti-migrant sentiment that has challenged multilateralism elsewhere in Europe is taking root - fast - in mainstream German politics.
Merkel agreed to the latest policy after an insurrection over migration policy led by her interior minister, Horst Seehofer, threatened to bring down her coalition.
Seehofer demanded that Germany block migrants at the border if they have no papers, or have already registered in another European country.
Merkel, who supports free movement across borders, had insisted on coordination with neighboring governments until Monday night, when she made the deal with him to stay in power.
The new policy is subject to the approval of the Social Democrats, the third party in Merkel's coalition.
It would establish camps, called "transit centres," at points along the border. Newly arriving migrants would be screened in the centers, and any determined to have already applied for asylum elsewhere in the European Union would be turned back.
Under Merkel, Germany has been a bulwark against the rise of the far right in Europe and the increasing turn against migrants. Even as neighboring countries turned away those fleeing war and strife in the Middle East, she has welcomed more than 1 million since 2015, and lobbied for a collective European solution.
Comparing the migrant crisis to a challenge on the same scale as Germany's postwar reconstruction and reunification, she appealed to fellow Germans that they were up to the challenge.
"We can manage," she said famously in 2015, inspiring many to donate food, clothes and their time to help.
Since then the number of new migrants has dropped to a fraction of what it was three years ago. But the goodwill has eroded as Germany has struggled to absorb those already in the country.
An ascendant far-right has relentlessly pushed the narrative that the migrant crisis is ongoing and that crime is up.
It is actually at a 25-year-low but a series of high-profile assaults in Germany involving migrants, including the rape and killing of a 19-year-old German student and the terrorist attack on a Christmas market that killed 12 people, has helped to turn public sentiment.
Anti-migrant feelings helped lead to the rise of a far-right political party, the AfD, which has put Germany's more mainstream parties under pressure to change.
Merkel has been unable to stem the changing tide, with cascading implications for politics in Germany and Europe.
"Her political capital is depleted," said Thomas Kleine-Brockhoff, director of the Berlin office of the German Marshall Fund and a former presidential speechwriter. "We are well into the final chapter of the Merkel era."
"Under her continued leadership, Germany will be largely immobilised at home and in Europe," Kleine-Brockhoff added, a dramatic change for a country that has been Europe's political and economic anchor. "But the promise of Merkel was stability, not immobility."
As the chancellor faces domestic challenges, she is also confronted by pressures from the Trump administration.
Over the past month, US President Donald Trump wrote sharply worded letters to Merkel and the leaders of several other NATO allies, criticizing them for spending too little on their own defense.
In his letter to Merkel, Trump said that Germany was to blame for other countries' failure to spend enough, "because others see you as a role model."
German postwar politics has been built around stability and consensus. Merkel governed in that tradition and became closely associated with it. She is one of only three chancellors that have run the country since 1982. And she has fended off many political opponents during her 13 years as chancellor.
When Merkel first took office in 2005, it was a different world. A year after 10 formerly communist eastern European countries joined the European Union, the Continent was still rife with idealism. Merkel, a pastor's daughter and trained scientist who had grown up in Communist Germany, was not only the first woman but the first easterner to lead her reunified country.
She steered Germany through a period of power and prosperity even as economic and political fires broke out abroad. Once in a while she veered from her calm-bordering-on-boring protocol; there were even times when she made radical decisions.
She announced the end of nuclear power production after the Fukushima reactor disaster in Japan. She was determined to keep Greece inside the eurozone, even at the cost of painful austerity policies.
In last September's election, Merkel's conservatives recorded their worst postwar result. It took two tries, negotiations with six other parties, nearly six months and a lot of concessions to political rivals to form a government.
In the vote, the far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD, emerged as the third-strongest force in the German Parliament and the main opposition party.
Its rise has helped shrink the support base of the once mighty Social Democrats, and opened a rift in Merkel's Christian Democratic Union, or CDU, between those who stand by the chancellor's liberal worldview and those who want her gone and yearn for a more traditional conservatism.
Above all, the AfD's rise has sharply shifted the powerful and already very conservative state of Bavaria to the right. Seehofer's tough stand on migrants is seen in part as a bid to protect his party's right flank.
Even now, diminished and fighting political rebellions, Merkel made it clear on Monday that she is determined to battle on for those values that for many years made her one of the most popular politicians at home and abroad. But she also tried to put the best face on her concession.
"The security of our country begins on our borders," the chancellor told reporters after meeting for several hours with the leaders of her party and those of Seehofer's Bavarian conservatives.
She described the measure as simultaneously, a national action to secure Germany's borders, but in cooperation with the EU partner countries that the migrants are coming from.
"With this, is exactly the spirit of partnership in the EU is preserved, and at the same time and decisive step made to order and control secondary migration. Exactly that was and is important to me."
Despite the growing fear of the threat posed to Germany by migrants entering illegally, the numbers tell a different story. In 2017, Germany sent back 1,707 refugees who were already registered in another country, and denied entry to another 12,370, according to figures compiled by Parliament.
That compares with 222,683 people who submitted a petition for asylum last year, nearly 124,000 of whom were granted fully asylum.
"What looks like a power struggle surrounding Ms. Merkel, behind this is actually a conflict about the integrity of the European project," Kleine-Brockhoff said.
"The four freedoms of the EU can no longer be enforced. We can't agree on freedom of movement of refugees and immigrants; the whole system has ceased to function."