Exit polls project Swedish Social Democrats biggest party, far right make gains

A man sits next to Sweden's Social Democrats party election campaign booth in the Rinkeby neighbourhood in Stockholm, Sweden, on Sept 7, 2018.
A man sits next to Sweden's Social Democrats party election campaign booth in the Rinkeby neighbourhood in Stockholm, Sweden, on Sept 7, 2018. PHOTO: REUTERS
People at booths in a polling station during the Swedish general elections in Stockholm, on Sept 9, 2018.
People at booths in a polling station during the Swedish general elections in Stockholm, on Sept 9, 2018.PHOTO: AFP
Sweden Democrats Party members react to exit polls after the election in Stockholm, Sweden, on Sept 9, 2018.
Sweden Democrats Party members react to exit polls after the election in Stockholm, Sweden, on Sept 9, 2018.PHOTO: REUTERS

STOCKHOLM (AFP) – Swedish Prime Minister Stefan Lofven’s Social Democrats appeared to be the largest party in Sunday’s (Sept 9) legislative elections, with exit polls projecting gains for the far-right though they looked poised to come in far behind the top vote-getter. 

A TV4 exit poll predicted the Social Democrats would win 25.4 per cent of votes, while public broadcaster SVT credited them with 26.2 per cent.

Both scores, if confirmed, would make them the biggest party but would represent their lowest in more than a century. 

The far-right Sweden Democrats (SD), which have capitalised on voters’ frustration over immigration, were expected to make strides but come in lower than what opinion polls had suggested during the campaign, both exit polls showed. 

SD leader Jimmie Akesson had said he hoped to win between 20 to 30 per cent of votes.  In the TV4 poll, the conservative Moderates were expected to come in second at 18.4 per cent, while SD was credited with 16.3 per cent of votes, up from 12.9 per cent four years ago. 

The SVT poll meanwhile put SD in second place at 19.2 per cent, trailed by the Moderates at 17.8 per cent. 

Lofven had called the election a “referendum on the future of the welfare state” but SD presented it as a vote on immigrants and their integration, after Sweden took in almost 400,000 asylum-seekers since 2012. 

 

SD, with roots in the neo-Nazi movement, has said the arrival of asylum-seekers is a threat to Swedish culture and claims they put a strain on the country’s generous welfare state. 

“Everything suggests we’re going to have a good election,” SD leader Jimmie Akesson told news agency TT after voting in Stockholm earlier Sunday. 

Meanwhile, Lofven had urged Swedes not to vote for what he called a “racist party” as he cast his ballot.  “It’s... about decency, about a decent democracy. And the Social Democrats and a Social Democratic-led government is a guarantee for not letting the Sweden 
Democrats extremist party, racist party, get any influence in the government.”

The Social Democrats, traditionally the biggest party, have led a minority government with the Greens since 2014. 

‘Hostile to foreigners’ 

Anna Berglund, a 28-year-old lawyer who voted for the small Centre Party at a polling station in Stockholm’s upmarket Ostermalm neighbourhood, said SD’s mounting support was “bad news”. 

“I’m afraid we’re becoming a society that is more hostile to foreigners.”

According to Statistics Sweden, 18.5 per cent of Sweden’s population of 10 million was born abroad.  The head of the four-party Alliance (the conservative Moderates, Centre, Liberals and Christian Democrats), Ulf Kristersson, told AFP on voting day he was concerned over SD’s rise. 

“I have tried to prove to voters during the election campaign that if you really want a change, you have to vote... for our four parties. We are the guarantee to oust the current government from power,” he said. 

Well aware that neither Lofven’s “red-green” bloc nor his own Alliance had a chance of winning a majority, Kristersson has said Sweden needs “a strong cross-bloc cooperation to isolate the forces... pushing for Sweden to withdraw from international cooperation”. 

Deal with ‘the devil’

The final election results were due late Sunday, but the composition of the next government may not be known for weeks.  Lengthy negotiations will be needed to build a majority, or at least a minority that won’t be toppled by the opposite side. 

The opposition is intent on ousting Lofven, with some Moderates willing to go so far as to put an end to SD’s pariah status and open negotiations with them.  That could prove fatal for the Alliance, with the Liberal and Centre parties repeatedly ruling out a deal with “the devil”, as Akesson occasionally calls himself. 

None of the seven parties have been willing to negotiate with SD. 

“The problems in society that we warned of have grown bigger and worse and people agree with our view of reality,” SD parliamentary group leader Mattias Karlsson told SVT. 

“When the same party time and again increases, and the other parties stand still, then you have to listen to that part of the population that is voting for this party. It’s time to take responsibility and talk to the Sweden Democrats,” he said. 

In an interview with AFP during the campaign, Akesson stressed he would “lay down his terms” after the election, citing immigration policy, crime-fighting and health care as priorities.