Coronavirus: Singapore

Vaccines thwart disease but may not stop infection: Experts

But without coughs, sneezes to expel virus, transmission may be reduced, curbs may be able to be relaxed, they say

Covid-19 vaccines protect people from the symptoms and more severe forms of the disease but are not designed to fully prevent them from being infected, experts said yesterday, following the case of a migrant worker who tested positive despite having both doses.

They said inoculation was vital because although those who have had the jabs can still catch the virus, they were much less likely to get seriously ill than unvaccinated patients.

The migrant worker, who was reported to have tested positive on Sunday, received his first dose on Jan 25 and his second on Feb 15, the Health Ministry said.

Finding someone who records a positive polymerase chain reaction test result does not mean a failure of the vaccine, said Professor Ooi Eng Eong from the Duke-NUS Medical School, who is also developing a self-replicating mRNA vaccine with Arcturus Therapeutics.

The primary goal of vaccination is to prevent the Covid-19 disease, not infection, Prof Ooi said.

"Vaccinated individuals would have developed immune memory against the Sars-CoV-2 virus such that upon natural infection, the rapid immune response would prevent these individuals from becoming ill.

"Although asymptomatically infected individuals can theoretically transmit Sars-CoV-2 to others, real-world data from vaccinated countries suggests that - without coughs and sneezes that expel the virus - such instances are relatively uncommon," he added.

Very high efficacy rates also do not mean 100 per cent protection, experts said.

Associate Professor Hsu Li Yang, an infectious diseases expert at the NUS Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, stressed that the two mRNA vaccines currently approved in Singapore - the ones developed by Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna - are approximately 94 per cent to 95 per cent effective against symptomatic disease, which means that about five in 100 people exposed to the virus may still become infected and have symptoms after vaccination.

Vaccines are not foolproof because the strength of the immune response varies across individuals, Prof Hsu said.

"For those whose immune systems are compromised, and even for those with otherwise normal immune systems, sometimes they are still not able to mount an adequate response even after exposure to the virus."

Despite these limitations, it still remains critical to be vaccinated quickly as few other measures are able to reduce virus transmission so effectively, Prof Hsu added.

Associate Professor Alex Cook, vice-dean of research at the NUS Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, said: "Just like how an umbrella does not guarantee you won't get wet from the rain but makes you less likely to get wet and catch a cold, the vaccines do not provide perfect protection but drastically cut the risk of developing Covid-19 and being severely sick with it."

When asked if there will be no end in sight for curbs to prevent transmission since vaccinated individuals can be infected anyway, Prof Cook said: "Once enough people have been vaccinated, the marginal benefit within a society to continue broad-based control policies such as mask wearing becomes much reduced."

Currently, those vaccinated continue to adhere to strict safe management practices. However, once most have been vaccinated, it may be time for these measures to be relaxed, Prof Cook said.

"But I would expect that behind the scenes, measures such as contact tracing, testing symptomatic individuals, and the monitoring of the situation overseas, would need to continue," he added.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on April 13, 2021, with the headline Vaccines thwart disease but may not stop infection: Experts. Subscribe