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Why polls showing a Trump win in November may be wrong
The former US president continued to underperform pollsters’ predictions on Super Tuesday.
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When Donald Trump first burst onto the political scene eight years ago, public opinion surveys tended to undercount his supporters.
PHOTO: AFP
Peter Spiegel
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If there is anything we have learnt about American politics in the age of Trump, it is this: The pollsters almost always get it wrong.
When the billionaire real estate developer first burst onto the political scene eight years ago, public opinion surveys tended to undercount his supporters, suggesting there were “secret Trump voters” who were too abashed to publicly admit their preference for a candidate so divisive.
