What does the Ukraine crisis mean for Taiwan?

While the US has no treaty obligation to defend either Ukraine or Taiwan, its interests in both are not symmetrical. It is highly improbable that Washington won’t respond robustly to a Chinese attack on Taiwan.

Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen inspecting navy troops during the inauguration ceremony of domestically produced mine-laying ships at a navy base in Kaohsiung, southern Taiwan, on Jan 14, 2022. PHOTO: AFP
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With more than 100,000 Russian troops massed on Ukraine's borders, Nato rushing arms to Kyiv, and the United States and other Group of Seven countries ominously but vaguely warning of "massive consequences" if Russia should invade, war clouds seem gathering over Europe.

The commentariat has speculated that a Russian invasion of Ukraine could lead to China taking advantage of US preoccupation in Europe to attack Taiwan.

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