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The political cost of inflation: A lesson from the US election

Higher prices for basic foodstuff like eggs tend to linger in voters’ minds. The Biden-Harris administration is not the only government to be punished for it at election time.

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(FILES) A shopper picks up his package of bacon while shopping for food items at a grocery store on August 14, 2024 in Rosemead, California. Donald Trump's US election victory was, at least in part, down to his success in pinning the blame for a post-pandemic inflationary surge on the Biden-Harris administration. But analysts say some of Trump's own economic plans, from hiking tariffs to reining in the Fed's independence, risk undoing the US central bank's progress against inflation, potentially pushing it to keep interest rates higher for longer. (Photo by Frederic J. BROWN / AFP)

A majority of those citing the "bad" economy as their main concern voted for Donald Trump.

PHOTO: AFP

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As an economist living in Michigan, an electoral “swing state” in the United States, I have been asked by many Singaporeans what role the economy played in

Donald Trump’s victory

– and what lies ahead.

From the perspective of economists, the US economy has been called “the envy of the world”, enjoying robust gross domestic product growth, strong job creation, unemployment at near-record lows, wages rising faster than moderating inflation, a booming stock market, and world-leading technological innovation and productivity growth.

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