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The growth tide is ebbing in a shock-prone, supply-constrained world: Nobel laureate
Demographics and public debt are among the brakes on growth. The AI revolution could come to the rescue but it will take time, says economist Michael Spence.
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The AI revolution could come to the rescue but it will take time, says Nobel Prize-winning economist Michael Spence.
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Driven by forces that policymakers are finding hard to control, growth in the global economy is at an inflexion point, says Nobel Prize-winning economist Michael Spence. Worsening demographics, changes in labour markets, the end of a long deflationary era, climate shocks, politically driven economic decisions and a less globalised world economy have imposed new constraints on growth.
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and, to a lesser extent, robotics are possible silver linings, he says, but their impact will be felt only gradually.

