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Don’t be too hopeful about China’s bounce-back

Pent-up demand, and the urge to splurge Covid-19 savings, may splutter out. More modest growth of under 5 per cent may be on the cards.

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Many economists expect that the economy will grow at a pace between 5 per cent and 5.5 per cent.

Many economists expect that the economy will grow at a pace between 5 per cent and 5.5 per cent.

PHOTO: BLOOMBERG

Arup Raha

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With the

surprise lifting of its Covid-19 restrictions

in January, China reopened its borders after three years. Naturally, now there are expectations that this will lead to a sturdy bounce-back for the Chinese economy. 

A consensus among economists is that due to pent-up demand, much of the uptick for the economy will come from an increase in private consumption. 

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