Disturbing fact in latest US mass shootings – both gunmen were elderly

The median age of mass shooters in the United States is 32, but one of the two gunmen in the latest incidents was 72 and the other was 66

Huu Can Tran (left), 72, and Zhao Chunli, 66, the alleged gunmen in two mass shootings in California. PHOTOS: AFP, REUTERS

The two men who shot dead 18 people in separate incidents just days apart in California are the latest perpetrators in America’s long history of mass gun violence. But something about these public shootings and the men held responsible stands out.

The median age of mass shooters in the United States is 32. Yet the man who is alleged to have shot dead 11 people in Monterey Park last Saturday night before turning the gun on himself was 72 years old – the oldest mass shooter in modern American history, our records show. Meanwhile, the gunman who took the lives of seven more people in Half Moon Bay two days later was also older than most – 66, the third-oldest in history.

We are criminologists who built a database of 191 mass shooters using public data. The shooters in our records date back to 1966 and are coded on nearly 200 different variables, including age at the time of attack. Our research shows that mass shootings – defined as events in which four or more people are killed in a public place with no underlying criminal activity – have become more frequent, and deadly, over time.

Prior to the January 2023 California shootings, mass shooters were also getting younger, overall. From 1980 to 1989, the median age of mass shooters was 39. Over the next two decades, it was 33. And from 2010 to 2019, it was 29.

Since 2020, the median age of mass shooters has come down to just 22 – mostly young men and boys who were born into or came of age in an increasingly divided America and carried out their attacks amid the disruption of a global pandemic.

Older mass shooter behind deadliest assault

Ages vary by shooting location, the data shows. Though mass shooters at offices, warehouses and houses of worship skew older, shooters at K-12 (kindergarten to Grade 12) schools, colleges and universities tend to be younger – in large part because many school shooters tend to be current or former students.

Prior to the tragic incidents in Monterey Park and Half Moon Bay, just six mass shooters in our study were over the age of 60. The oldest was a 70-year-old who killed five people at an auto parts store in Kentucky in 1981. The list also includes the perpetrator of the deadliest mass shooting in US history – a 64-year-old who killed 60 people at a 2017 music festival in Las Vegas.

The others were a 66-year-old who was supposed to turn himself in to serve a prison sentence but instead killed four people at the manufacturing plant where he used to work, in Illinois in 2001; a 64-year-old who killed four barbershop and oil change shop patrons in rural New York in 2013; a 62-year-old who killed four people, including two state troopers and a judge, in New Hampshire in 1997; and a 60-year-old who killed six at a shopping centre in Palm Bay, Florida, in 1987.

Prior to the January 2023 California incidents, nearly all the perpetrators of mass shootings who were 60 and older were white men – just one was a non-white male. This differs in the Monterey Park and Half Moon Bay incidents, both of which are thought to have been carried out by Asian Americans.

Less likely to leak details of attack

Mass shooters over 60 tend to have prior criminal records and to target their places of employment, or retail and outdoor locations in communities they know well.

What separates the older mass shooters from their younger counterparts is that mass shooters in their 20s and 30s typically study previous mass shooters for inspiration and validation. Younger shooters also tend to communicate intent to do harm in advance. This practice, known as leakage, is often seen as a final cry for help. Younger shooters tend to leave behind manifestos to communicate their anger and grievances to the world, the data shows. Analysis of their expressed motives suggest they are seeking fame and notoriety for their actions.

None of the shooters aged 60 and above in our database did that – although investigations are ongoing in the back-to-back California cases. Instead, they tend to have experienced a recent stressor, such as a family conflict or debt. They are more likely to be motivated by legal, financial and interpersonal conflicts, not hate or fame-seeking like many of their younger counterparts.

But all perpetrators of mass shootings, young and old, have some things in common. Their mass shooting is intended to be their final act. Whether they die by suicide – as is seemingly the case with the alleged Monterey Park shooter – or are killed on scene, or sit and wait to be arrested like the Half Moon Bay suspect did, mass shootings are a final act of hopelessness and anger.

They also have access to the firearms they need to commit these devastating crimes.

  • Jillian Peterson is an associate professor of criminal justice at Hamline University in Minnesota. James Densley is a professor of criminal justice at Metropolitan State University, also in Minnesota. This article was first published in The Conversation.

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