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Did Hamas make millions trading the Oct 7 attacks?

Researchers highlight suspicious markets activity.

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FILE PHOTO: Israeli soldiers inspecting the burnt cars of festival-goers at the site of an attack on the Nova Festival by Hamas gunmen, on Oct 13, 2023.

The timing of the Hamas attack blindsided Israel’s army and intelligence services, and appears to have surprised even some of Hamas’ political leaders.

PHOTO: REUTERS

The Economist

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In the run-up to

its attack on Israel on Oct 7,

Hamas maintained tight operational security. The timing of the assault blindsided Israel’s army and intelligence services, and appears to have surprised even some of Hamas’ political leaders. However, a new working paper by Mr Robert Jackson Jr, a former commissioner of America’s Securities and Exchange Commission, and Professor Joshua Mitts of Columbia University suggests that someone had enough advance knowledge of the plan to make a small fortune profiting from a crash in the Israeli stock market.

The authors analysed trading patterns in Israeli shares in the weeks before the attack, and found anomalies consistent with a grim form of informed trading. Perhaps the most striking example is a surge in short sales – bets that a security’s price will fall – of a relatively illiquid exchange-traded fund (ETF) which is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker EIS, and tracks an index of Israeli share prices.

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