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China’s population decline does not spell doom

Demography is not destiny. Broader economic reforms that allocate capital better and make labour more productive can blunt the impact of a shrinking population.  

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China's total population could fall below 700 million by the end of the century, which would be less than half the 1.4 billion now.

China's total population could fall below 700 million by the end of the century, which would be less than half the 1.4 billion now.

PHOTO: EPA-EFE

Bert Hofman

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It is no surprise that China’s National Bureau of Statistics’ (NBS) quarterly press releases on its gross domestic product (GDP) statistics are closely followed. After all, it is the second-largest economy in the world – the largest on some count – so much is at stake.

On Tuesday, though, it was not the

reported 3 per cent growth rate for 2022

that stole the show, but a number from a normally obscure part of statistical work, demographics.

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