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After the tariff shock, threat of a US bond market crisis looms

Planned tax cuts will blow out the fiscal deficit and debt, further denting confidence in the US Treasury market.

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An American flag flutters over a ship and shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles, in San Pedro California, U.S., May 13, 2025. REUTERS/Mike Blake

The threat to the bond markets has now been heightened by an attempt by the Trump administration to push through an extension of its 2017 tax cuts.

PHOTO: REUTERS

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The Trump administration’s tariff war has morphed from its initial phase of shock and awe, featuring the highest tariffs in more than a century, to a series of negotiations with its trade partners which are likely to drag on for months.

But if the risk of outsized tariffs has ebbed –

or at least been temporarily frozen

– another risk to the global economy looms large: bond market stress.

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