Middle East oil becomes most expensive in the world as Iran war cuts supply
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The surge in crude benchmarks is pushing up costs for Asian refiners, forcing them to seek alternatives or cut output.
PHOTO: AFP
- Middle East crude benchmarks hit record highs, surpassing Brent futures, due to supply disruptions and the US and Israeli war on Iran.
- Middle East crude exports to Asia have declined by 32 per cent compared to March 2025, as war halts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Asian refiners are reducing output and seeking alternatives due to soaring prices and concerns over the reliability of Dubai benchmarks.
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DUBAI – Middle East crude benchmarks soared to all-time highs, becoming the most expensive oil in the world, even as trade slumps amid the US and Israeli war on Iran, with some traders arguing that the benchmarks have lost relevance due to supply disruption.
The surge in the benchmarks – used to price millions of barrels of Middle Eastern crude bound for Asia – is pushing up costs for Asian refiners, forcing them to seek alternatives or reduce output further in the coming months.
Cash Dubai was assessed at a record US$153.25 a barrel on March 16 for May-loading cargoes, S&P Global Platts said, surpassing Brent futures’ all-time high of US$147.50 in 2008.
That put Dubai’s premium to swaps at US$56.01 a barrel on March 16, accounting for about a third of the crude’s value and up from an average of 90 US cents in February, data from Reuters showed.
Similarly, Oman crude futures hit a record of US$147.79 a barrel, setting their premium to Dubai swaps at US$50.57 a barrel, far above February’s 75 US cents average.
Dubai prices are distorted given its wide price gap with Murban futures, which settled at US$111.76 a barrel on March 16, three trade sources said.
Middle East crude exports to Asia fell to 11.665 million barrels per day (bpd) in March, down from nearly 19 million bpd in February and about 32 per cent lower than March 2025 levels, as the war halts shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, data from analytics firm Kpler showed.
Several Asian refiners have reduced operating rates.
Some refining sources blamed the price spike on reduced supply available for delivery during the Platts Market on Close process, after the agency dropped three crude grades that transit via the strait.
“It is unnatural and unfair pricing because of thin trading,” one of the sources said, adding that the remaining grades – Oman and Murban – are not representative of the benchmark used to price Middle Eastern and also some Russian barrels.
Another refining source said May-loading Middle East crude trade has stalled, as the Dubai and Oman benchmarks are broken. The sources declined to be named as they spoke on the condition of anonymity.
“Platts Dubai continues to reflect the value of Middle Eastern sour crude trading in the spot market,” an S&P Global Energy spokesman said in an e-mail, adding that activity during the Platts MOC has been robust in March, with multiple cargoes delivered.
However, traders said TotalEnergies has been the only buyer receiving cargoes in the Platts window. The French major snapped up 24 Oman and Murban crude cargoes, or 12 million barrels, in March, trade data showed.
Platts said on March 16 it is seeking immediate feedback on the deliverability of Middle East crude and Platts Dubai crude benchmark methodology.
Meanwhile, spot premiums for crude from the Americas and Africa have risen, as Asian refiners scramble for supply.
Two traders said premiums for Brazilian spot crude hit records of US$12 to US$15 a barrel to ICE Brent, while premiums for April-loading West African crude on free-on-board basis rose about US$1 a barrel from a month ago, with most cargoes sold, one of them said. REUTERS
