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Will the US economy pull off a ‘soft landing’?

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NEW YORK, NEW YORK - MAY 03: People walk along Wall Street outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on May 03, 2023 in New York City. The Dow was slightly lower in morning trading as investors wait to see later today if the Federal Reserve will continue to raise interest rates.   Spencer Platt/Getty Images/AFP (Photo by SPENCER PLATT / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Inflation, which had been quiescent for decades, surged in 2021-22 to levels not seen since the 1980s.

PHOTO: AFP

Paul Krugman

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At first, the Covid-19 pandemic dealt a hammer blow to the United States economy. America lost 22 million jobs between February and April 2020. And many analysts worried that the pandemic might leave “lasting scars” in the form of reduced employment, lower output and more.

At this point, however, both total employment and the share of adults in the labour force are right in line with projections made before the pandemic struck. Same with the labour force and gross domestic product. In other words, most economic indicators show no scarring at all.

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