Gold soars to record as US rate-cut bets burnish appeal
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The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to be higher when interest rates are reduced.
PHOTO: REUTERS
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BENGALURU – Gold prices jumped to an all-time peak on July 17, driven by mounting hopes of a US interest rate cut in September after recent comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Spot gold was up 0.2 per cent at US$2,473.87 per ounce, as of 10.50am Singapore time, after hitting a record peak of US$2,482.29. US gold futures gained 0.3 per cent to US$2,475.80.
“Gold reached a new high watermark as investors position for the arrival of a lower interest rate environment. The US$2,500 (range) is the next immediate target, though if the current momentum can be sustained, we could be looking at prices further north from here before year-end,” said Mr Tim Waterer, KCM Trade’s chief market analyst.
“Particularly, if we start seeing some more favourable US CPI prints, which could make the Fed more dovish on rates than is already priced in.”
CPI refers to the consumer price index.
Markets are expecting a rate cut of at least 25 basis points by the Fed at the September meeting. The allure of non-yielding bullion tends to be higher when interest rates are reduced.
Fed chair Jerome Powell said on July 15 recent inflation readings “add somewhat to confidence” that the pace of price increases is returning to the board’s target in a sustainable fashion, remarks that suggest a turn to rate cuts may not be far off.
Fed governor Adriana Kugler on July 16 also expressed cautious optimism that inflation is returning to the US central bank’s 2 per cent target.
“If (gold) prices retrace, US$2,450 near its previous record high seems like a tempting level for bulls to reload for its next leg higher,” City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.
Top consumer China still has plenty of appetite for official gold purchases despite pausing in May and June, as its bullion holdings remain low as a share of reserves and geopolitical tensions persist, according to a policy insider, industry experts and data.
Spot silver fell 0.5 per cent to US$31.22 per ounce, platinum firmed 0.2 per cent to US$1,001.97 and palladium added 1.3 per cent to US$971.57. REUTERS
