Gold rises to record high on Fed rate cut signal, US-China tensions

LONDON – Gold climbed to a fresh record, boosted by an escalation in US-China frictions and bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice more in 2025.

Bullion rose to a fresh peak of US$4,185 an ounce. Spot silver advanced after a volatile day on Oct 14, which saw prices surge to an all-time high above US$53.54 an ounce, before tumbling sharply amid signs that a historic squeeze is starting to ease. 

Yields on US Treasuries fell to the lowest levels in weeks on Oct 14

, after Fed chair Jerome Powell signalled that the US central bank is on track to deliver another quarter-point cut later in October. Lower yields and borrowing costs tend to benefit precious metals, which do not pay interest.

Meanwhile, risk-off sentiment swept markets – boosting gold’s haven appeal – after US President Donald Trump said he might stop trade in cooking oil with China.

The comments injected fresh tensions into the relationship between the world’s two largest economies, with Beijing vowing to retaliate after Washington threatened an additional 100 per cent tariff on China last week. 

In silver, the market has been gripped by a lack of liquidity in London, sparking a worldwide hunt for metal and

driving benchmark prices to soar above futures in New York.

The gap between the two markets narrowed on Oct 14 after London prices fell, while the cost of borrowing silver in the city also started to decline, although both remained at very high levels.

Traders remain on edge ahead of the conclusion of the US administration’s so-called Section 232 probe into critical minerals – which includes silver, as well as platinum and palladium. The investigation has revived fears that the metals could be swept up in new tariffs, even though they were officially exempt from tariffs in April.

The four main precious metals have surged between 58 per cent and 80 per cent in 2025, in a rally that has dominated commodity markets. Gold’s advance has been underpinned by central bank buying, rising holdings in exchange-traded funds and Fed rate cuts. 

Demand for havens has been aided by recurrent US-China trade tensions, threats to the Fed’s independence

and a US government shutdown

.

Investors have also been seeking safety in precious metals to protect themselves from the threats posed by runaway budget deficits – a phenomenon known as the “debasement trade”. BLOOMBERG