S. Korea's inflation quickens as central bank mulls over rate hike

SEOUL • South Korea's inflation unexpectedly climbed last month as the central bank prepares to meet over rates amid the nation's worst coronavirus outbreak yet.

Consumer prices rose 2.6 per cent from a year earlier, accelerating from a 2.4 per cent pace the month before, the statistics office reported yesterday. Economists had expected the rate to stay at June's level.

The pickup in inflation comes as a recent surge in virus infections to more than 1,000 new cases a day and tougher social distancing rules cloud the outlook.

Bank of Korea (BOK) governor Lee Ju-yeol has signalled that he is preparing to raise rates to prevent asset bubbles from worsening, but he has also said the timing depends on the virus situation. The BOK will meet on Aug 26 for a rate decision.

Headline inflation has now exceeded the central bank's mid-term goal of 2 per cent every month since April, pushed up partly because of the comparison with last year's dismal figures. The BOK sees price gains fluctuating around its target for the rest of the year before sliding lower next year.

A report last week showed South Korea's growth slowed last quarter from its speedy pace at the start of the year, but the central bank made clear that it still sees the recovery in line with its forecasts.

A 34.9 trillion won (S$41 billion) extra budget passed last month to shore up consumption could boost economic activity and add upward pressure on prices in the short term. The stimulus aims to provide cash handouts to almost 90 per cent of South Korean households to fuel consumer spending.

Compared with June, consumer prices rose 0.2 per cent last month.

South Korea's core inflation came in at 1.7 per cent, compared with the previous year.

Transport costs led the gains, jumping 7.6 per cent from a year earlier amid rising global energy prices. Housing, water, electricity and fuel costs rose 2.3 per cent.

Prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages increased 6.4 per cent.

Entertainment costs, heavily affected at the height of the pandemic, increased 1.3 per cent last month. Education prices fell 0.7 per cent, and communications costs dropped 2.2 per cent.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on August 04, 2021, with the headline S. Korea's inflation quickens as central bank mulls over rate hike. Subscribe