Japan's exports fall most since 2009 as US demand slumps

TOKYO • Japan's exports fell last month at the fastest pace since the 2009 global financial crisis as US-bound car shipments plunged, bolstering expectations for a deeper contraction in the world's third-largest economy this quarter.

Weak global appetite for cars and slowing business spending could drag on Japan's export-led economy, as China-bound trade remains weak, dashing hopes that mainland demand could offset the weakness seen in other major trading partners.

Official data out yesterday showed Japan's exports fell 28.3 per cent in the year to last month, the largest slump since September 2009. The result was worse than a 26.1 per cent decrease expected in a Reuters poll and extended double-digit declines for a third straight month.

US-bound exports - Japan's key market - halved to mark the biggest annual drop since March 2009, due to more than 70 per cent declines in shipments of cars and car parts. Japan is the world's second-largest exporter of cars.

"As Europe and America started to reopen, exports may have hit the bottom in May," said chief economist Takeshi Minami at Norinchukin Research Institute.

"That said, as new cases of infections have risen in Beijing, it's hard to expect a steady recovery. If such a situation drags on, it will deal a body blow to small firms, raising the risk of rising bankruptcies and joblessness in the latter half of the fiscal year."

US-bound exports fell to 588 billion yen (S$7.6 billion), the lowest since February 2009, shrinking Japan's trade surplus with the United States to 10 billion yen, the smallest since records began in January 1979.

The plunge in US-bound auto exports weighed on Japan's automaker stocks with Mazda Motor, Hino Motors and Isuzu Motors all losing more than 4 per cent.

While recent indicators suggest the US economy is emerging from the depths of its coronavirus slump, businesses are still dealing with the effects of travel and social distancing restrictions.

Globally, automakers are struggling to recover from heavy lockdowns in many countries that pummelled demand for cars.

Nissan Motor has announced plans to slash production capacity and its model range by about a fifth to help cut costs, following a slide in sales.

Exports to China, Japan's largest trading partner, fell 1.9 per cent in the year to last month, due to declines in chemical raw materials, cars and chipmaking equipment. It followed the prior month's 4 per cent annual decline.

Shipments to Asia, which account for more than half of Japanese exports, declined 12 per cent, and exports to the European Union also fell 33.8 per cent.

Japan's economy slipped into recession for the first time in 41/2 years in the first quarter and is on course for its deepest post-war slump as the pandemic ravages businesses and consumers.

The Bank of Japan on Tuesday increased its support through lending schemes for struggling businesses to US$1 trillion (S$1.4 trillion), following government efforts to stop the economy from sliding deeper in recession with US$2.2 trillion fiscal stimulus packages.

While the central bank expects a gradual economic recovery in the second half, the collapse in trade and bleak sentiment surveys suggest industries have a long way to go to make a sustained comeback.

Analysts warn that the current quarter will be especially dire as consumers stayed at home and businesses closed their doors.

Highlighting the pain the health crisis has inflicted on corporate morale, manufacturers' confidence fell to its lowest level in 11 years, the Reuters Tankan poll showed yesterday.

Reflecting weak domestic demand as well as the collapse in crude oil prices, overall imports fell 26.2 per cent in the year to last month, the biggest drop since October 2009, the trade data showed.

REUTERS