Dow shake-up to see exit of Exxon, Pfizer and Raytheon

NEW YORK • The dominance of technology companies has eclipsed every other story in this year's pandemic-upended stock market. Now it is forcing a reordering of the world's most famous stock benchmark.

In the biggest reshuffling in seven years, Exxon Mobil, Pfizer and Raytheon Technologies were kicked out of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, moves that will boost the influence of technology companies that have dominated the stock market this year.

Salesforce.com, Amgen and Honeywell International will enter the 124-year-old equity gauge next week, its overseers said.

The actions were prompted when Apple - which is currently 12 per cent of the 30-stock index - announced a stock split that effectively reduced the sway of computer and software stocks in the price-weighted average. Apple is worth more than US$2 trillion (S$2.7 trillion).

The moves represent an equally significant embrace of technology companies, whose giant rallies have frequently caused the Dow to trail other major indexes this year.

"Those changes are a sign of the times - out with energy and in with cloud," said Mr Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance.

The latest reshuffling comes as technology companies have come to dominate the stock market in a trend amplified by this year's Covid-19 lockdowns.

While the Dow average is still 4.2 per cent off its February record, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is almost 20 per cent above the pre-pandemic all-time high.

While any change to the Dow is notable, the ejection of Exxon Mobil - the world's biggest company as recently as 2011 - marks a particularly stunning fall from grace, reflecting the decline of commodity companies in the American economy.

Worth US$525 billion in 2007 and more than US$450 billion as recently as 2014, the stock had fallen in four of six years before this year and is down another 40 per cent since January. It is now worth about US$180 billion.

Founded in 1999, Salesforce was one of the best-performing stocks of the bull market following the global financial crisis, rising 27-fold since March 2009.

Amgen is among the world's biggest biotechnology companies with a market value of about US$137 billion, though it is replacing a company - Pfizer - that is about US$90 billion larger.

Stocks of the affected companies were quick to price in the shake-up. Shares of Exxon dropped 2 per cent as of 6.10pm in New York, in after-hours trading, while Raytheon fell 3 per cent. Honeywell climbed 3.5 per cent and Salesforce.com rose 4 per cent. Pfizer dropped 1.9 per cent and Amgen rose 4 per cent.

This is the second time a stock split by Apple has had profound consequences for the Dow average. The first was in 2014, when its seven-for-one split lowered the price of its shares enough to make inclusion feasible.

Apple's decision to do it again this year effectively lowered its sway on the price-weighted average, making the influence of technology companies too small in the eyes of the Dow's handlers.

Under-representation of technology companies has occasionally penalised the Dow this year, when it has frequently trailed the market-cap weighted S&P 500, whose concentration on megacap companies like Amazon.com and Alphabet has juiced its returns.

Neither of those companies is effectively eligible for the Dow, given their US$1,000-plus share prices.

The blue-chip index weights its constituents by price rather than market value, making it different from the broader S&P 500.

Honeywell, meanwhile, is returning to the average after being kicked out 12 years ago to make way for a financial services company, Bank of America, and an energy producer, Chevron.

While the Dow's influence has faded over the years as passive managers linked to benchmarks based on market value, the index remains an exclusive club and still serves as one of the highest profile showcase of American industrial heft.

Roughly US$31.5 billion of assets are benchmarked to the Dow, with US$28.2 billion of passively managed funds linked.

The last time three companies were added to the Dow was seven years ago, when Visa, Goldman Sachs Group and Nike displaced Bank of America, Hewlett-Packard and Alcoa.

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