COLOMBO (BLOOMBERG) - Sri Lanka's ousted prime minister Ranil Wickremesinghe is ready for polls after President Maithripala Sirisena dissolved the island nation's Parliament and called for a snap general election.
"We are prepared to go for an election, but this is illegal," said Mr Harsha De Silva, who was state minister of economic affairs under Mr Wickremesinghe's government. "There will be a massive backing of citizens that believe in democracy and rule of law."
The party of the deposed prime minister also said it would mount a legal challenge to the President's move in Sri Lanka's top court.
The 225-seat Parliament, which had already been suspended in the political chaos, was dissolved at midnight on Friday (Nov 9) with a vote scheduled for Jan 5 and a new Parliament set to reconvene on Jan 17.
It's the latest twist in a constitutional crisis that began on Oct 26 when Mr Sirisena unexpectedly fired Mr Wickremesinghe, who served since 2015 as prime minister in a unity government with the President.
Mr Sirisena attempted to install Sri Lanka's former strongman president Mahinda Rajapaksa as the new prime minister.
News of the election hit investors on Monday. Sri Lankan dollar bonds led declines in a Bloomberg Barclays index of Asian sovereign and corporate notes in early trading. The nation's sovereign bonds due in 2025 dropped 2.1 cents on the dollar to 87, the biggest decline in two weeks, while the country's bond maturing in 2022 fell to a record low.
Mr Sirisena said in a statement on Sunday that he dissolved Parliament because he feared the eruption of "widespread violence" when the House was due to reconvene on Nov 14.
He also referred to allegations of bribery by saying members of the legislature now had "price tags" on them.
Although Mr Rajapaksa enjoys widespread support for his role in bringing an end to Sri Lanka's brutal 26-year civil war in 2009, some like Mr Jehan Perera, executive director of the National Peace Council of Sri Lanka, said the controversial move to reinstate him has been unpopular.
"The premature dissolution, the perceived unfairness of sacking Wickremesinghe, this will generate sympathy for him," Mr Perera said in an interview. "Even among the general population, among thinking people, the feeling is that this is unfair and dangerous."
The call for a fresh election came after it seemed unlikely Mr Sirisena could prove a majority of lawmakers support his newly appointed prime minister. The move drew strong international condemnation and stalled about US$2 billion (S$2.76 billion) worth of projects and grants.
"President Sirisena's decision to dissolve Parliament poses a vital threat to Sri Lanka's democratic institutions," the US Embassy in Colombo said in a statement posted to Twitter on Saturday.
"There is much at stake and such actions jeopardise Sri Lanka's economic progress and international reputation."
Mr Rajapaksa, who led Sri Lanka for a decade before he lost to Mr Sirisena and Mr Wickremesinghe in 2015, defended the push for a new election.
"A general election will truly establish the will of the people and make way for a stable country," Mr Rajapaksa said in a post on Twitter late on Friday.
Mr Rajapaksa, who was previously a member of Mr Sirisena's party, announced on Sunday he was joining the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna, or People's Front, the party he created earlier this year to defeat the Mr Sirisena and Mr Wickremesinghe in local elections.
However, that doesn't mean Mr Rajapaksa has abandoned Mr Sirisena, and on Monday state-run media said the two leaders were planning to fight the election as an alliance.
"We will strive to create a broader coalition with many stakeholders under the leadership of Sirisena and Rajapaksa to face the upcoming General Election and come out victorious," said Mr Rajapaksa's lawmaker son Namal, who also joined the party over the weekend, on Twitter.
Relations between Mr Wickremesinghe and Mr Sirisena became strained this year after their coalition was defeated in local elections by a Rajapaksa-backed party.
Mr Sirisena said he had to fire the prime minister for mismanaging the economy and because of a Cabinet minister's alleged involvement in a plot to assassinate Mr Sirisena.
While Mr Wickremesinghe may get some sympathy from the recent developments, Mr Rajapaksa, who comes from rural southern Sri Lanka, retains a strong degree of support among the Sinhala ethnic majority by espousing a fiercely proud Buddhist nationalism.
Many ordinary Sri Lankans support Mr Rajapaksa, the National Peace Council's Perera said.
"The voting masses go with, and have greater affinity for, Rajapaksa's type of politics and his persona," he said.
Both China and India are watching the events closely. Analysts see Mr Rajapaksa likely favouring China for funding costly infrastructure projects. New Delhi will probably keep working in the background unless there is overt Chinese intervention, said Mr Constantino Xavier, a foreign policy fellow at Brookings India.
Mr Wickremesinghe's decision to hold on to power despite Mr Sirisena replacing him created "an embarrassing stalemate", said Dr Paul Staniland, an associate professor of political science at the University of Chicago.
That made Sirisena "up the ante", he said.
"The Supreme Court looks like it will be forced to enter the fray now, with incredibly high stakes and a huge amount of uncertainty about the outcome," said Dr Staniland.
"This showdown is putting extraordinary stress on Sri Lanka's political institutions in ways that will be very difficult to recover from."