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Making sense of the twists and turns in recent South China Sea tensions between China and Philippines

Some level of calm has returned to the disputed South China Sea, after talk of red lines, knife-wielding sailors and a severed thumb over the past month. Yew Lun Tian and Mara Cepeda speak to officials and analysts on what could have transpired.

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(FILES) This frame grab from handout video footage taken on June 17, 2024 and released on June 25 by the Armed Forces of the Philippines shows Chinese Coast Guard personnel aboard rigid hull inflatable boats (in black) during a confrontation with Philippine Navy personnel on their respective vessels (in gray) near the Second Thomas Shoal in disputed waters of the South China Sea. The Philippines and China agreed on July 2, 2024 to "de-escalate tensions" over the South China Sea, Manila said, following a violent clash in the disputed waters. (Photo by Handout / ARMED FORCES OF THE PHILIPPINES / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE - MANDATORY CREDIT "AFP PHOTO / ARMED FORCES OF THE PHILIPPINES" - NO MARKETING NO ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS - DISTRIBUTED AS A SERVICE TO CLIENTS

Chinese naval sailors clashing with Philippine sailors in the South China Sea on June 17.

PHOTO: AFP

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- When Chinese naval sailors wielding knives, an axe and other weapons clashed with Philippine sailors in the South China Sea on June 17, temperatures quickly spiked, with bellicose comments from some quarters in Manila that it was tantamount to an act of aggression.

The situation has since calmed, however, with President Ferdinand Marcos Jr recently ordering Filipino troops to exercise “maximum restraint” in the South China Sea.

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