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‘Pulled in kicking and screaming’: Why the Philippines can’t sit out a Taiwan conflict

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Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos delivers his speech during the State of the Nation Address at the House of Representatives in Manila on July 28, 2025.

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr relaxed a 38-year-old restriction on government officials’ contact with their Taiwanese counterparts in April.

PHOTO: AFP

Follow topic:
  • President Marcos acknowledges the Philippines' potential involvement in a conflict over Taiwan, given the South-east Asian country's geography, alliances and interests, saying "we will be pulled in whether we like it or not".
  • The Philippines is strengthening ties with Taiwan, including relaxed restrictions and carrying out coast guard patrols, driven by strategic necessity amid China's growing influence.
  • Analysts warn of risks such as potential isolation within the region and uncertainty regarding US support, despite the Mutual Defence Treaty and the Enhanced Defence Cooperation Agreement.

AI generated

Recent remarks by President Ferdinand Marcos Jr that the Philippines would inevitably be dragged “kicking and screaming” into a conflict over Taiwan may have unsettled Beijing, but they were also a rare moment of candour.

Analysts say geography, alliances and security interests mean neutrality over Taiwan is an illusion for Manila, which, as Mr Marcos said, would inevitably be drawn into a conflict involving Taiwan should one erupt. 

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