In pivot from India, Nepal PM seeks economic support from China

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Mr K.P. Sharma Oli (second from left) waves alongside his wife Radhika Shakya (left) before his departure from Nepal to China.

Nepal’s Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli departing via a Kathmandu airport for a visit to China in December, his first to a foreign country since his July swearing-in.

PHOTO: AFP

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BEIJING – Nepal’s veteran communist politician K.P. Sharma Oli, returning as the country’s prime minister in 2024 for a fourth time, sought to kick-start infrastructure projects with Beijing this week amid a pivot away from India’s sphere of influence.

Mr Oli arrived in China on Dec 2 for a four-day visit, his first to a foreign country since his July swearing-in, and breaking tradition by not making New Delhi, with which Kathmandu has centuries-old ties, his initial port of call.

Mr Oli has so far been greeted by familiar pledges of assistance, but no new investment.

The nine deals that Nepal signed with China on Dec 3 had been previously agreed to.

During Mr Oli’s meeting with China’s President Xi Jinping on Dec 2, the Chinese leader reiterated that China would help Nepal transform from a landlocked country into a “land-linked” one, and would continue to support Nepal’s economic development “to the best of its ability”, according to Chinese state media.

Kathmandu, which signed up for

Mr Xi’s Belt and Road Initiative

aimed at building China’s infrastructure and trade links with the rest of the world, says no project has yet been implemented since an initial pact was inked in 2017, despite being keen to break ground on projects including road upgrades and new transportation corridors.

Mr Oli is seeking to deepen and recalibrate economic ties with Nepal’s northern neighbour, while seeking to reduce its traditional dependence on India to the south.

India accounts for two-thirds of Nepal’s international trade while China has a share of just 14 per cent.

But China is a bigger two-way creditor, having lent more than US$310 million (S$416 million), World Bank data shows, or US$30 million more than New Delhi.

During his first term as prime minister in 2016, Mr Oli cut a petroleum deal with China after New Delhi imposed a six-month oil blockade on Kathmandu a year earlier.

That upended India’s status as Nepal’s sole fuel supplier and paved the way for increased co-operation with Beijing.

Debt fears

China has since extended Nepal a loan of US$216 million to build an international airport in Pokhara, the second-largest city about 200km west of Kathmandu, which began operating in 2023.

But the Chinese-built airport, claimed by Beijing as a symbol of Belt and Road success, has grappled with problems, such as a lack of international flights, due to India’s refusal to let planes use its airspace to reach Pokhara.

Debt concerns have also spurred debate within Mr Oli’s coalition government, with the Nepali Congress party, a key supporter of Mr Oli being in office, opposing any project funded by loans.

Ahead of his China visit, the coalition partners, including Mr Oli’s own Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist), agreed to use grants and not loans from China for Belt and Road projects.

Sri Lanka, a key recipient of Belt and Road loans to fund transport and power projects, defaulted on foreign debt in May 2022, offering a sobering reminder of the risks of unsustainable borrowing. REUTERS

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