Australia’s centre-left Labor likely to retain power as Trump concerns weigh, polls show

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FILE PHOTO: People enter a pre-polling centre in the seat of Warringah, Sydney, Australia, April 29, 2025. REUTERS/Hollie Adams/File Photo

A YouGov poll released on May 1 predicted a Labor majority, with the party likely winning up to 85 seats in Australia’s 150-seat Lower House.

PHOTO: REUTERS

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SYDNEY – Australia’s centre-left Labor government is likely to retain power in a close-run national election this weekend, two opinion polls showed on May 1, with voters ranking US President Donald Trump’s policies among their top concerns.

A RedBridge-Accent poll published by News Corp newspapers on April 30 showed Labor leading 53 per cent to 47 per cent against the conservative Liberal-National coalition under Australia’s two-party preferential voting system, where votes are distributed until a winner is declared.

Labor could win the election in its own right or form a minority government, the RedBridge poll said, marking a reversal of sentiment from February, when voters wanted Prime Minister Anthony Albanese out of office.

The lift in support for Labor late in the campaign is driven by millennials and Generation Z voters, with one in five saying they had changed their mind, the RedBridge poll said.

Millennials and Gen Z voters make up 43 per cent of the 18 million people enrolled under Australia’s mandatory voting system, outnumbering the powerful baby boomer bloc.

Earlier this week, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals staged a

major political comeback to retain power in the country’s election

, fuelled by a backlash against Mr Trump’s policies and his comments on making Canada the 51st US state.

About 48 per cent of Australian voters picked the uncertainties triggered by Mr Trump as one of their top five concerns, while 42 per cent remained wary of the opposition’s plans to build seven nuclear plants across the country to help replace coal-fired power.

The online poll of 1,011 voters was conducted between April 24 and April 29.

Opposition leader Peter Dutton has campaigned on several policies seen widely as emulating Mr Trump and his Department of Government Efficiency set up by Mr Elon Musk, though he later abandoned a policy that would have required government workers to return to office full-time.

Comparisons with Mr Trump and his policies have dragged down Mr Dutton’s popularity in Australia, where a poll in March showed Australians’ faith in the US had hit an all-time low.

A separate YouGov poll released on May 1 predicted a Labor majority, with the party likely winning up to 85 seats in the 150-seat Lower House and the opposition facing a net loss of 11 seats, its worst performance since 1946.

Mr Albanese has been downplaying the poll results, saying it would be a close campaign. REUTERS

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