All too easy as Premier leads Coalition to historic election victory in NSW

The New South Wales election was seen as an indicator of the likely fortunes of Prime Minister Scott Morrison ahead of a federal election. PHOTO: REUTERS

SYDNEY- The ruling Coalition in Australia's most populous state of New South Wales easily defeated the Labor opposition in an election on Saturday (March 23) that delivered a welcome boost to Prime Minister Scott Morrison ahead of a looming federal poll.

The state's Premier, Ms Gladys Berejiklian, became the first woman to win an election in NSW, though it was not clear last night whether her Liberal-National Coalition will have an outright majority or will be forced to rule as a minority government.

As counting continued last night, the Coalition was expected to win 45 of 93 seats in the Lower House, with Labor winning 35, eight going to minor parties and independents and five seats still unclear.

In a victory speech in Sydney, Ms Berejiklian praised a state in which "someone with a long surname - and a woman - can be the Premier of NSW".

"My team and I will continue to work our guts out to make sure this state and its people continue to ensure that we have the best opportunities on this planet," she said.

Addressing Mr Morrison, she said: "We will do everything we can to support your government in its re-election."

The result was disappointing for the state Labor party and appeared to be partly due to comments by its leader, Mr Michael Daley, blaming Asian migrants in Sydney for making house prices unaffordable.

But voters also appeared to back Ms Berejiklian's big-spending plans to build new rail and road networks and to provide funding to assist parents with after-school care for primary school students.

Ms Berejiklian, the daughter of Armenian migrants and a former banking executive, is seen as a hard-working, disciplined, unshowy pragmatist, but she ran an uninspiring election campaign that raised concerns that Labor could win. However, Mr Daley's comments, which he apologised for, along with Ms Berejiklian's clear debate victory over him, helped to clinch victory in the final days.

The election was seen as an indicator of the likely fortunes of Mr Morrison ahead of a federal election, which is due to be held in May. Mr Morrison trails badly in opinion polls and his federal Coalition has suffered from years of bitter internal warfare between its moderate and conservative wings.

But the NSW result will give the federal Coalition hope that it can still hold on to several key battleground seats across western Sydney.

Mr Morrison, whose electorate is in Sydney, was beaming last night as he congratulated Ms Berejiklian on her win.

"In two months from now we'll back here celebrating another Liberal-National government returned to office," he said.

With almost 60 per cent of the vote counted last night, all major parties - the Liberals, Labor and the rural-based Nationals - all saw their votes decline compared with the 2015 election. The state Coalition was expected to suffer an overall 2.3 per cent swing against it and was on track to lose two seats, one to Labor and one to the rural-focused Shooters, Fisher & Farmers Party.

NSW, with a population of about eight million, has a strong economy with an unemployment rate of 4.3 per cent, the lowest of any state.

Labor ruled from 1995 to 2011 but the Coalition has now won three successive elections. Ms Berejiklian became Premier after her predecessor, Mr Mike Baird, resigned in 2017.

Mr Daley's party leadership is likely to come under pressure, especially as several of his Labor colleagues blamed his comments about Asian migrants for the party's disappointing result.

"The debate and the comments on that video ... they were two major set backs for us," Labor MP Jodi McKay told ABC News.

The Greens were expected to win three seats, with three going to independents and two going to the Shooters, Fisher & Farmers Party, which campaigned on concerns in rural areas about the water supply and health services. If the Coalition fails to win a majority, it will need to rely on the support in Parliament of several of these crossbench MPs.

In the Upper House, no party was expected to win a clear majority. A controversial former Federal Labor leader, Mr Mark Latham, who has become known in recent years as a provocative right-wing commentator, was set to be elected as a member of Pauline Hanson's anti-migrant One Nation party.

Jonathanmpearlman@gmail.com

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