S-E Asia's roaring economies: Euro zone

Annual growth rate on the up and up

A sculpture featuring models of German sports car manufacturer Porsche outside the factory museum next to the Porsche headquarters in Stuttgart. The strong euro zone growth was powered by Germany, which shifted into an even higher gear in the third q
A sculpture featuring models of German sports car manufacturer Porsche outside the factory museum next to the Porsche headquarters in Stuttgart. The strong euro zone growth was powered by Germany, which shifted into an even higher gear in the third quarter. PHOTO: REUTERS

BRUSSELS • The euro zone's annual economic growth rate outstripped that of the US in the third quarter, setting up 2017 as the best year for the currency area since financial markets crashed a decade ago.

Germany was a major factor, but even some of the bloc's laggards, like Italy, showed signs of revival.

Eurostat, the European Union statistics office, confirmed a preliminary estimate that euro zone gross domestic product grew 0.6 per cent from July to September from the previous quarter and on a year-on-year basis was 2.5 per cent higher.

This was higher than the 2.3 per cent year-on-year rate for the United States economy, which had been growing faster than the euro zone. The US quarterly numbers were slightly better than the euro zones at 0.7 per cent, however.

"A robust labour market recovery, growing export markets, an accommodative monetary stance, improving lending conditions and modest inflation are but a few of the tailwinds that the euro zone economy is experiencing," ING economist Bert Colijn said. "Because of that, this could well be its strongest year for growth since 2007. The euro zone will likely outpace both the US and United Kingdom in terms of GDP growth in 2017," he said.

Euro zone GDP grew 3 per cent in 2007, and reached 2.1 per cent in 2010 and 2015. Partly as a result of the growth, euro zone investments have turned in one of their best years since the single currency was born in 1999, confounding many who had bet on the bloc to be the disaster play of 2017.

The strong euro zone growth was powered by the zone's biggest economy Germany, which shifted into an even higher gear in the third quarter, propelled by buoyant exports and rising company investments in equipment. Seasonally adjusted German GDP rose 0.8 per cent on the quarter, beating a consensus forecast of 0.6 per cent, which was also the second-quarter growth rate.

France, the second biggest economy in the zone, grew 0.5 per cent on the quarter and 2.2 per cent in annual terms. Third biggest economy Italy beat expectations with a 0.5 per cent for quarterly, and 1.8 per cent annual growth, supported by exports and domestic demand.

Outside the bloc, euro zone growth also exceeded that of Britain, the EU's second-ranked economy which will leave the bloc in March 2019. The British economy, affected by a drop in the pound against the euro since last year's Brexit vote, expanded 0.4 per cent on the quarter in sterling terms and just 1.5 per cent annually.

The stronger growth supports the European Central Bank's decision last month to start weaning the euro zone off ultra-loose money by saying that from January, it will halve the amount of bonds it buys every month to €30 billion (S$48.2 billion). It nevertheless promised years of stimulus and left the door open to backtracking.

REUTERS

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on November 27, 2017, with the headline Annual growth rate on the up and up. Subscribe