Manufacturers' mood in Japan hits 3-year low

Poll signals only modest recovery in next three months; confidence down in service sector as well

TOKYO • Confidence among Japanese manufacturers tumbled to a three-year low in May and is seen recovering only modestly in the next three months, a Reuters poll found, in a sign the yen's rise is taking its toll on exporters of cars and electronics.

The Reuters Tankan, which tracks the Bank of Japan's quarterly Tankan survey, found that the service sector's mood also fell this month, reflecting weak domestic demand despite the central bank's aggressive monetary stimulus.

The monthly poll of 510 big and mid-sized firms between May 9 and May 23, of which 250 responded, comes after data out last Monday showed sharp falls in exports and manufacturing activity, piling pressure on policymakers to do more to spur flagging growth.

The Reuters Tankan sentiment index for manufacturers fell to 2 this month from 10 last month, dragged down by key industries exporting cars, electronics and precision machinery. It is seen bouncing to 5 in August.

The service-sector index fell to 19 from 23 last month and is seen slipping further to 18 in August, weighed down by retailers worrying that a stronger yen may dampen spending by Chinese and other foreign tourists.

The yen's rise is taking its toll on exporters. Japanese carmakers also suffered from the effects of last month's earthquakes that crippled supply chains in the south.
The yen's rise is taking its toll on exporters. Japanese carmakers also suffered from the effects of last month's earthquakes that crippled supply chains in the south. PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE

"Our business results are in line with the same period last year but somewhat undershooting the budget. The impact from the yen's rise is large, putting us in a tough situation," a manager at an electric machinery maker said in the survey, which companies answer anonymously.

Japanese officials have threatened in recent weeks to intervene in foreign exchange markets as the yen bolted to 18-month highs, but they failed last week to win assent from global partners to weaken the strong currency, which Tokyo fears could do further damage to the sputtering economy.

Carmakers also suffered from the effects of last month's earthquakes that crippled supply chains in Japan's southern manufacturing hub of Kumamoto, while a mileage-cheating scandal at a carmaker curbed orders at factories, the poll found.

Mitsubishi Motors admitted last month it overstated the fuel economy of at least four of its models - mini-cars sold in Japan, including two sold under Nissan's badge.

"We have been affected by declining orders since the Kumamoto quakes and the mileage-cheating scandal," a manager at a transport equipment producer said in the survey.

The BOJ Tankan last month found that confidence among Japan's big manufacturers had hit the lowest in nearly three years and was seen worsening in the coming quarter.

Some analysts fear the economy could contract this quarter after dodging a return to recession early in the year.

REUTERS

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on May 27, 2016, with the headline 'Manufacturers' mood in Japan hits 3-year low'. Print Edition | Subscribe