'Extremely critical fire weather' threatens south-western US

Smoke from the Calf Canyon fire is seen from Holman, New Mexico, on April 29, 2022. PHOTO: REUTERS

NEW YORK (NYTIMES) - A large swathe of the United States faced twin weather threats on Friday (April 29) as a severe drought turned parts of the South-west into a tinderbox, ripe for more wildfires, and powerful storms threatened to produce tornadoes and hail across the Central Plains.

More than 64,750 ha across New Mexico have already burned in recent weeks, and the National Weather Service warned on Friday of an "extremely critical fire weather area" over north-east New Mexico, south-east Colorado and south-west Kansas. It also described a "critical fire weather" area over the southern High Plains, which includes Texas and Oklahoma.

The weather service blamed strong gusty winds, low relative humidity, and an abundance of dry grass and brush for the elevated risk of wildfires.

Parts of the South-west - including large parts of New Mexico - have been seared by drought and raked by high winds, creating ideal conditions for wildfires to ignite and spread quickly.

"It's been like hell. It's been like we're getting ready to burn up here in town," said Bill Cox, who with his sister owns the Hillcrest Restaurant in Las Vegas, New Mexico, a city of 13,000 people.

Their city, about 113km east of Santa Fe, is the largest community near the Calf Canyon and Hermit's Peak fires, which started separately this month but have merged into one and scorched more than 26,300 ha.

More than 950 firefighters have been battling the blaze, and authorities have ordered evacuations in parts of San Miguel and Mora counties, as they warned residents to be on high alert. A main concern: strong winds, which were expected to gust up to 96 kmh on Friday.

"This emerging situation remains extremely serious and refusal to evacuate could be a fatal decision," the sheriff's offices in those counties said in a statement. More than 275 structures, including 166 homes and three commercial buildings, have been destroyed in San Miguel County, officials said.

Cox said the fire had burned a golf course and come within 800m of his property outside Las Vegas. Roads have been blocked and smoke has filled the air.

"People are freaking out," he said. "People are really on edge."

Logs in the area are drier than the kiln-dried two-by-fours sold in hardware stores, said Mike Johnson, a fire information officer working on the Calf Canyon and Hermit's Peak fire. "With the fuel conditions we have, folks need to be prepared not only for this fire, but from any new starts that are going to be established," he said.

Cox said he had given Red Cross workers burritos when they came to his restaurant, and offered them more on their next visit. "The whole community is stepping up and working together," he said.

Another fire farther north, the Cooks Peak fire, has charred more than 22,260 ha in north-eastern New Mexico since it started on April 17.

More than 520 firefighters have been battling that blaze, but high winds on Friday were making it too dangerous for firefighting aircraft to join the attack, said David Shell, a spokesperson for the South-west Area Incident Management Team, which is coordinating efforts to fight the Cooks Peak fire.

"It's scary out there," Shell said. "You have to have your head on a swivel because conditions can change quickly. If the direction of the wind changes quickly, you have to be prepared to react immediately." The fire has been ripping through dry ponderosa pine, oak brush and grass.

"On a scale of 1 to 5, I'd say it's like a 6," Shell said, describing the combustible conditions. "It's going to test our fire lines to the maximum."

Locals prepare to evacuate their home due to the Calf Canyon fire burning nearby, in Mora, New Mexico, on April 29, 2022. PHOTO: REUTERS

Scott Overpeck, a weather service meteorologist in Albuquerque, New Mexico, said there was not much relief in the forecast, with only a few storms expected on Sunday.

"We really need the rainfall to really solve the problems," Overpeck said. "But if we can just get a break in the winds, a break in the humidity levels, that will allow fire operations and firefighters to contain the fires."

Even as parts of the South-west confronted dangerously dry weather, a strong storm over the Central Plains, which includes Kansas and Nebraska, had increased the risk of severe thunderstorms over the Central and Southern Plains through Saturday morning, the weather service said.

The thunderstorms could bring lightning, strong wind gusts, tornadoes and hail measuring 5cm or larger, the service said. On Saturday, the threat of severe thunderstorms was expected to move eastward to the western Ohio Valley, threatening that area with lightning, wind gusts, hail and tornadoes.

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