Analysts hit by recession anxiety

Rising worries over US-China trade tensions; Morgan Stanley foresees slump in 9 months

A store that has closed down in Manhattan, New York. The United States is still in robust growth, with historically low unemployment rates, but underlying the worry is dwindling investor confidence.
A store that has closed down in Manhattan, New York. The United States is still in robust growth, with historically low unemployment rates, but underlying the worry is dwindling investor confidence. PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE
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Worries about a potential recession have grown, following the events of recent days when - in a fundamental shift - it has dawned on markets, businesses, analysts and pundits that no United States-China deal is in the offing for the foreseeable future.

Morgan Stanley, in a note to clients last week, said a recession would come in nine months if US President Donald Trump goes one step further than the 10 per cent tariff he has threatened on Chinese goods from Sept 1.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on August 10, 2019, with the headline Analysts hit by recession anxiety. Subscribe