KIEV/WASHINGTON (REUTERS) – The United States said it feared Russia was preparing a pretext to invade Ukraine if diplomacy fails to meet its objectives, after a massive cyberattack splashed Ukrainian government websites with a warning to “be afraid and expect the worst”.
Moscow dismissed such warnings, though it has amassed more than 100,000 troops on its neighbour’s frontiers and on Friday (Jan 14) released pictures of more of its forces on the move.
The cyberattack – which Kiev’s state security service said showed signs of Russian involvement – unfolded hours after security talks wrapped up on Thursday with no breakthrough between Moscow and Western allies.
Ukraine said its president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, had proposed a three-way meeting with the leaders of Russia and the United States. Zelenskiy’s chief of staff, Andriy Yermak, said the “life and death” of his country hung in the balance.
White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters the United States was concerned that Russia was preparing for the possibility of a new military assault on a country it invaded in 2014.
“As part of its plans, Russia is laying the groundwork to have the option of fabricating a pretext for invasion, including through sabotage activities and information operations, by accusing Ukraine of preparing an imminent attack against Russian forces in eastern Ukraine,” Psaki said.
A US official said the United States had information that indicated Russia had already positioned a group of operatives to conduct “a false-flag operation” in eastern Ukraine.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov dismissed such reports as based on “unfounded” information, Tass news agency reported.
Russia denies plans to attack Ukraine but says it could take unspecified military action unless its demands – including a promise by the Nato alliance never to admit Kiev – are met.
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said that Russia hoped security talks with the United States would resume but that this would depend on Washington’s response to Moscow’s proposals.
“We categorically will not accept the appearance of Nato right on our borders, especially so given the current course of the Ukrainian leadership,” he said.
Asked what Moscow meant by threatening this week to take “military-technical action” if talks fail, Lavrov said: “Measures to deploy military hardware, that is obvious. When we take decisions with military hardware we understand what we mean and what we are preparing for.”
Russian Defence Ministry footage released by RIA news agency showed armoured vehicles and other military hardware being loaded onto trains in Russia’s far east, in what Moscow called an inspection drill to practice long-range deployments.
“This is likely cover for the units being moved towards Ukraine,” said Rob Lee, a military analyst and a fellow at the US-based Foreign Policy Research Institute.
‘Expect the worst’
Ukrainian officials were investigating the cyberattack, which they said hit around 70 Internet sites of government bodies including the security and defence council.
Ukraine’s state security service, SBU, said it saw some signs pointing to the involvement of hacker groups associated with the Russian intelligence services.
A spokesman for the White House National Security Council said it was not yet clear who was responsible. “We are in touch with the Ukrainians and have offered our support,” the spokesman said.
Russia did not comment, but has previously denied being behind cyberattacks, including against Ukraine.
“Ukrainian! All your personal data was uploaded to the public network. All data on the computer is destroyed, it is impossible to restore it,” said a message visible on hacked government websites, written in Ukrainian, Russian and Polish.
“All information about you has become public, be afraid and expect the worst. This is for your past, present and future.”
The message was peppered with references that echoed long-running Russian state allegations, rejected by Kiev, that Ukraine is in thrall to far-right nationalist groups.
The Ukrainian government said it had restored most of the affected sites and no personal data had been stolen.
Nato responded by announcing that it would sign a new agreement within days with Kiev on closer cooperation in cyber defence, including giving Ukraine access to the Western military alliance’s system for sharing information on malicious software.
Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said in a statement that Nato cyber experts were already working with the Ukrainian authorities to respond to the attack.
The European Union’s top diplomat, Josep Borrell, said the EU’s political and security committee and cyber units would meet to see how to help Kiev.
“I can’t blame anybody as I have no proof, but we can imagine,” he said.
On the streets of Ukraine, there was growing resignation to the prospect of renewed fighting. Kiev resident Ruslan Kavatsyuk, 39, said he saw the cyberattack as a “positive”, since it would stiffen the resolve of the Ukrainian public.
“It reminds us that we live during military times, that Russia is an enemy who will kill us physically,” he said.