Facing Russian threat, Nato expands operations, focuses on cyber security

Nato Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg gives a news conference during a NATO defence ministers meeting at the Alliance headquarters in Brussels.
Nato Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg gives a news conference during a NATO defence ministers meeting at the Alliance headquarters in Brussels.PHOTO: REUTERS

BRUSSELS (WASHINGTON POST) - As the spectre of conflict with Russia looms over Europe, Nato defence ministers have decided to expand the alliance's operations for the first time since the Cold War, sharpen its focus on cyber operations, and boost their powers to respond to Kremlin aggression.

The moves came as tensions with Russia remain the highest they have been in the nearly three decades since the end of the Cold War. Secretary of Defence James Mattis briefed fellow defence ministers on Wednesday (Nov 8) about Russian violations of the Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, underlining the nuclear risk that is a worst-case consequence of the bitter back-and-forth.

Defence ministers approved plans that would bolster their ability to keep an eye on Russian submarines in the Atlantic Ocean, where crucial undersea communications are at risk of being cut. They committed to establishing a command dedicated to sweeping away barriers preventing their forces from being deployed quickly across Europe in the event of war.

And they said that cyber weapons would now have as big a role in Nato planning as ordinary guns and tanks.

The efforts seek to revamp a war-fighting structure that atrophied in the peacetime years following the end of the Cold War. Nato was once a sprawling organisation of 22,000 people and 33 commands. Following cuts earlier this decade, it shrunk to 7,000 people and seven commands.

"Those decisions will ensure that Nato continues to adapt for the 21st century so that we can keep our people safe in a more challenging world," Nato Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said at the meeting of ministers.

The holes that opened in Nato's defence came as the alliance shifted in the years following the 1991 demise of the Soviet Union. Until Russia's 2014 annexation of Ukraine's Crimean Peninsula, Nato had turned into an alliance focused on limited deployments and operations far from its own territory.

Now, with a conflict in eastern Ukraine still burning alongside Nato borders, leaders have returned to planning for a conventional war with Russia.

Nato commanders worry that even though their militaries are significantly stronger than those under the command of the Kremlin, Russia's ability to rush its troops across i ts own territory give it a formidable practical advantage. US tanks were held up for hours over the summer as they waited for border clearance in Central Europe on the way to a military exercise.

The decision, which was widely supported by Nato's 29 member nations, would establish two new regional bases, bolstering Nato's total number to nine. No decisions were made about personnel numbers or where to station the new commands, although Germany and Poland are favourites for the logistics command and Portugal, the United States and France are possibilities for the sea-focused one.

The Nato nations that are most vulnerable to any Russian attack said that the initiative would help improve their defences. Nato nations deployed about 4,000 troops this year across the three Baltic nations of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania, as well as Poland, which all share borders with Russia.

Any delay in speeding troops and materiel across Europe "means more casualties, additional risks and losses" in the event of war, Lithuanian Defence Minister Raimondas Karoblis said.

"Time is very important here," he said, adding that the speed that Nato can respond to any Russian aggression could make the difference between fighting to defend Nato borders and a much more grinding effort to retake territory that has already been lost.

The decision to establish a cyberoperations center will also widen Nato's ability to act not only against Russia but also other adversaries such as the Taleban in Afghanistan and the Islamic State in Iraq.

Nato military commanders could use a cyberweapon to disable a Taleban website, for example.

Russia is suspected of using jamming technology in August to disable part of Latvia's cellular network ahead of its massive Zapad military exercises. And in the past, Estonia and Ukraine believe they have been targeted by Russian cyber tools.

"We now can strengthen Nato missions and operations also with cyber capabilities," Stoltenberg said. "We know that cyber will be an important part of any potential military conflict."