US President Donald Trump has been in office for three years. In those three years, he has upended political norms both at home and abroad, realigned US political divisions from "left versus right" into "us versus them", and rewritten the rules about presidential communication, one tweet at a time. Yet the republic still stands, a testament to the resiliency of US democracy and the institutions that support it. But there is worse to come.

There are a few things we can say with certainty about the next 12 months of American politics. The first is that the US Senate will take up an impeachment trial of Mr Trump; the second is that he will be acquitted by the Republican-controlled Chamber.