Index watch: The pregnant pause that signals a recession

Looking for evidence that a recession is coming? Count how many women are pregnant.

That is the conclusion of new research in the US that suggests economists and investors should pay attention to fertility to understand when a slump is due.

Please or to continue reading the full article. Learn more about ST PREMIUM.

Enjoy unlimited access to ST's best work

  • Exclusive stories and features on multiple devices
  • In-depth analyses and opinion pieces
  • ePaper and award-winning multimedia content
A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on February 27, 2018, with the headline 'Index watch: The pregnant pause that signals a recession'. Print Edition | Subscribe