Leonardo DiCaprio is Oscar shoo-in, but host Chris Rock may shock

Leonardo DiCaprio (left) is seen as certain to win his first ever Oscar while Chris Rock is expected to take aim at the Hollywood diversity crisis.
Leonardo DiCaprio (left) is seen as certain to win his first ever Oscar while Chris Rock is expected to take aim at the Hollywood diversity crisis. PHOTOS: AFP, REUTERS

LOS ANGELES (REUTERS) - Suspense and surprises mark the Academy Awards ceremony on Sunday after a rollercoaster awards season dominated by the #OscarsSoWhite controversy and no clear front-runner for the top honour of best picture.

It's the movie industry's biggest celebration, but all eyes this year will be on Oscars host Chris Rock, the outspoken black comedian who is expected to take aim at a Hollywood diversity crisis that produced an all-white acting nominee line-up for the second year running.

"I think Chris Rock will address it head on, which is exactly what the show and the Academy needs," said Variety awards editor Tim Gray.

Director Spike Lee and actor Will Smith have shunned the Academy Award ceremony, although a wider Oscar boycott largely failed to gather steam with Hollywood A-listers.

Nevertheless, the under-representation of people of colour in the film and TV industry has muted the congratulatory tone of awards season and prompted pledges to bring more women and minorities into the industry and the Academy.

In a break with tradition, Rock has given no interviews or hints of what he plans to say on Sunday's show, but in a cryptic tweet on Friday he wrote "see you Sunday...#blackout #Oscars".

Civil rights leader Al Sharpton has called for protests near Hollywood's Dolby Theatre, the Oscars venue, and for Americans to "tune-out" the live telecast, the most watched non-sports TV event of the year.

"No matter how much glitter and how much of pomp they display this afternoon, it's a disgrace to have an exclusionary policy represent American culture," Sharpton told congregants at the Second Baptist Church of Los Angeles on Sunday morning.

Korey Pugh, a 30-year-old who has been following the issue, said he would watch only the opening comments from Rock, and said Hollywood's diversity would only improve with the black community's efforts.

"We're not nominated all the time, so why is this year any different? We've got to make our own films with our own directors," he said.

Going into Sunday's ceremony, there was no consensus on which of the eight best picture nominees will take home the top prize. "All the tea leaves are pointing in a different direction. It could be The Revenant, Spotlight, The Big Short or even Mad Max: Fury Road," said Tom O'Neil, founder of awards website Goldderby.com.

With a leading 12 nominations, a Golden Globe and a BAFTA, 20th Century Fox's The Revenant with its ambitious tale shot in sub-zero temperatures has the epic qualities that traditionally appeal to the 6,200 voters of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

If The Revenant, directed by Mexican Alejandro Inarritu, wins best picture, it would mark the first time in Academy Awards history that a filmmaker directed two best picture winners in a row. Inarritu's Birdman won the 2015 best picture Oscar.

Open Road Films' Spotlight, which traces the journalism probe of sex abuse in the Boston Catholic Church, is also in the mix, along with Paramount's Wall Street misdeeds comedy The Big Short, pundits say.

Warner Bros well-reviewed Mad Max: Fury Road has 10 nominations and could turn out to be a rare action-adventure best picture winner.

Among the sure bets, popular Leonardo DiCaprio is seen as certain to win his first ever Oscar for his role as an 1820s fur trapper bent on revenge in The Revenant.

"I would be really stunned if he doesn't win," said Gray.

Rising star Brie Larson, 26, is the heavy favourite to take home the best actress Oscar for her compelling depiction of an abducted young woman in indie movie Room.

And 40 years after the first Rocky movie, Sylvester Stallone, 69, appears to have the sentimental edge over Bridge of Spies actor Mark Rylance in the supporting actor race thanks to Stallone's role as a boxing trainer in Creed.

Oscar producers are hoping for fewer "thank yous" from the winners this year. In a bid to speed up the 3-1/2 hour ceremony and encourage more interesting acceptance speeches, a scrolling list will run on screens of the agents, managers, director and friends that each winner wishes to acknowledge.