IMF sees Vietnam's economic growth slowing to 6.5% in 2019 from trade tensions

Workers operate the car assembly line at the new automobile plant of VinFast in Vietnam. The IMF said the economy remained resilient, fueled by healthy growth in middle class incomes and consumption, a strong harvest and a surging manufacturing sector. PHOTO: AFP

WASHINGTON (REUTERS) - The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday (July 16) said Vietnam's economic growth was expected to slow to 6.5 per cent in full-year 2019 from a 10-year high of 7.1 per cent in 2018, reflecting weak external conditions.

Vietnam's gross domestic product was expected to expand by 6.5 per cent again in 2020 and over the medium term, the IMF said in a report on the country's economic developments. The fund also said inflation averaged 3.5 per cent in 2018 and was expected to quicken to 3.6 per cent in 2019 and 3.8 per cent in 2020.

The IMF said trade tensions and volatility affected Vietnam in 2018, but the economy had remained resilient, fueled by healthy growth in middle class incomes and consumption, a strong harvest and a surging manufacturing sector.

"The strong economic momentum is expected to continue in 2019, aided by competitive labor costs and other strong fundamentals, including a diversified trade structure, and recently signed free trade agreements which are spurring reforms," the IMF said in a statement.

"However, a soft landing of growth is expected, to 6.5 percent in 2019 and over the medium term, reflecting weak external conditions."

The IMF's executive directors welcomed Vietnam's efforts to modernize its economic institutions and improve governance, and urged it to focus on strengthening anti-corruption legislation and improving oversight of state-owned enterprises.

It said the strong economy provided opportunities for more ambitious reforms to level the playing field for the domestic private sector and boost investment by reducing administrative and licensing procedures and trade barriers.

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