Australian consumer confidence tumbles 4.1% to two-year low

A shop in Melbourne's central business district. Consumer confidence has fallen 4.1 per cent this month, after a 0.6 per cent drop last month.
A shop in Melbourne's central business district. Consumer confidence has fallen 4.1 per cent this month, after a 0.6 per cent drop last month.PHOTO: AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE

SYDNEY • A measure of Australian consumer confidence fell this month to a two-year low, despite two interest rate cuts by the country's central bank, tax rebates and a modicum of stability in falling home prices.

Yesterday's survey results showed the Melbourne Institute and Westpac Bank index of consumer sentiment slumped 4.1 per cent this month following a 0.6 per cent fall last month.

The index was down sharply by 9 per cent from a year earlier at 96.5, meaning pessimists just outnumbered optimists.

The survey of 1,200 people was conducted as the Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates for a second straight month to a record low of 1 per cent, and left the door open to further easing, if needed.

In more positive news for consumers, Australian lawmakers last week approved A$158 billion (S$149 billion) worth of tax cuts over the next decade, which will offer a US$1,080 (S$1,470) rebate to low-and middle-income earners.

"The fall in sentiment this month is troubling as it comes against what should have been a supportive backdrop for confidence," said Westpac senior economist Matthew Hassan.

"The main driver continues to be deepening concerns about the outlook for the Australian economy and prospects for family finances.

TROUBLING

The fall in sentiment this month is troubling as it comes against what should have been a supportive backdrop for confidence.

WESTPAC SENIOR ECONOMIST MATTHEW HASSAN

"Deteriorating expectations for the economy outweighed any near-term support from the prospect of lower interest rates and tax relief."

As a result, the measure of economic conditions for the next 12 months slid 12.3 per cent, while the gauge for family finances, compared with a year ago, fell 3 per cent.

There was hardly any optimism about the future, with the economic outlook for the next five years paring back sharply to fall 6.7 per cent and family finances over the year ahead down 8 per cent.

The impact of the rate cut failed to perk up respondents who were mortgageholders, with their confidence falling 3.3 per cent.

The sub-index measuring whether it was a good time to buy a major household item climbed 3.6 per cent - the only sub-index to show a rise. Still, the mood overall on housing picked up, with the index of whether it was a good time to buy rising 5.4 per cent after a 1.8 per cent gain last month.

REUTERS

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on July 11, 2019, with the headline 'Australian consumer confidence tumbles 4.1% to two-year low'. Print Edition | Subscribe