Markets insights

Earnings, global growth back in focus this week

IMF to release World Economic Outlook; major US, S'pore firms to report results

A TV screen outside a shopping mall in Beijing showing US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He during the signing of the phase one trade agreement last Thursday. Mr Trump and Chinese Vice-Premier Han Zheng are expected to deliver sp
A TV screen outside a shopping mall in Beijing showing US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice-Premier Liu He during the signing of the phase one trade agreement last Thursday. Mr Trump and Chinese Vice-Premier Han Zheng are expected to deliver speeches at the World Economic Forum this week. PHOTO: EPA-EFE

With the US-China trade spat temporarily taking a back seat, markets may look to earnings and economic growth as key drivers this week.

It also looks set to be a slightly quieter week, with the United States stock market closed today for the Martin Luther King holiday.

Some Asian markets, including Singapore, will likely wind down ahead of the eve of Chinese New Year on Friday.

Singapore's benchmark index closed flat last Friday as excitement from the initial US-China trade deal faded, capping the week with a 0.8 per cent gain.

But at least one punter is hoping the earnings season playing out in the US will give sentiment a fillip.

Most corporate earnings posted last week, including those of big banks, had exceeded estimates.

"More positive results from corporate America could send stock markets worldwide even higher," said market analyst Han Tan at FXTM, noting that corporations such as Netflix, Johnson & Johnson, UBS, Intel and United Airlines will be reporting their results from the previous quarter.

On the Singapore bourse, announcements of corporate earnings will also start streaming in, led by property players.

For instance, results from Mapletree Logistics Trust will be out today, and from Keppel Reit and Frasers Centrepoint Asset Management on Wednesday, among others this week.

Aside from earnings, global growth is set to come into focus when the International Monetary Fund releases its World Economic Outlook today.

Last October, the fund had projected a "modest" improvement in global growth to 3.4 per cent in 2020, pointing out that recovery is not broad-based and "remains precarious".

AxiTrader chief Asia market strategist Stephen Innes said there has been a growing belief that global growth could gain momentum over the coming months, as significant downside risks to the world economy have been turned aside and worries over a possible recession have diminished, with the data giving credence to the possibility.

World leaders, including Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong, will gather at this week's World Economic Forum in the Swiss alpine town of Davos, where US President Donald Trump and Chinese Vice-Premier Han Zheng are expected to deliver speeches.

And with a deadline for the US and France to reach an agreement on digital taxation looming, analysts hope a deal can be achieved on the sidelines of the forum.

Otherwise, "there is room for escalation of trade tensions", warned Citi economists.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on January 20, 2020, with the headline Earnings, global growth back in focus this week. Subscribe