UBS cuts mid-term targets following 2019 profit drop

Bank facing greater competition for rich clients, low interest rates

ZURICH • UBS Group cut profitability targets yesterday as Switzerland's largest bank grapples with ultra-low interest rates and increased competition for wealthy clients.

Chief executive Sergio Ermotti, who successfully pivoted UBS away from investment banking to wealth management nearly a decade ago, is under pressure to retain UBS' edge in the business of managing money for the rich.

The bank said it would now target a 12 per cent to 15 per cent return on core capital (RoCET1) and a reported 75 per cent to 78 per cent cost/income ratio until 2022 after missing both ambitions last year. Its RoCET1 last year was 12.4 per cent, while its reported cost/income ratio was 80.5 per cent.

The bank reported a 129 per cent rise in net profit for the final quarter of 2019, but that performance benefited from a comparison with the final months of 2018, when a market rout hurt earnings. Profit for the full year fell 5 per cent.

The bank announced an overhaul of its flagship wealth unit under new co-head Iqbal Khan earlier this month but the moves, which will see hundreds of jobs axed and revived efforts to increase lending, were too late to salvage Mr Ermotti's return on equity and cost targets.

UBS' rivals have followed its strategy of cutting trading risk in favour of wealth management, and the battle for clients, along with ultra-low interest rates and the threat from passive investing, has made it harder to compete.

Credit Suisse Group, Switzerland's second-biggest bank and UBS' main rival, last month lowered its profitability targets after reaching a 7.8 per cent return on equity in the first nine months of 2019, as compared with UBS' 7.9 per cent for the full year.

Yesterday, UBS reiterated growth ambitions for its wealth management even as it scrapped targets for other divisions, saying it now expected pre-tax profit growth of 10 per cent to 15 per cent for the 2020 to 2022 period, compared with an adjusted 10 per cent to 15 per cent previously targeted over the 2019 to 2021 cycle.

That contrasts with Morgan Stanley, which is seeing the fruits of a long-term push into wealth management. Last week, the United States bank raised the bar for profit from its wealth division over the next two years after reporting a return on tangible equity of nearly 13 per cent.

Mr Ermotti put UBS in what he described as "fuel saving" mode last year to reduce costs, including freezing hiring, slashing bonuses and delaying spending.

But it has been hit by sliding profit and sluggish activity among its wealthy clients and the rise of passive investing, which undercuts the high-fee, private banking model.

Shares in UBS were largely flat last year compared with a gain of almost 30 per cent since the start of 2019 at Credit Suisse. They have risen around 4 per cent since the wealth unit reorganisation was announced early this month.

REUTERS

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on January 22, 2020, with the headline UBS cuts mid-term targets following 2019 profit drop. Subscribe