China, Japan drawing closer as ties with US fray

Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso (left) and his Chinese counterpart Liu Kun. China is pushing to mend strained relations with its neighbours as it grapples with ramped-up pressure from the United States on trade and security. PHOTO: REUTERS

TOKYO • Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso will travel to Beijing later this week for a meeting with his Chinese counterpart Liu Kun that is likely to demonstrate the improving relationship between the world's second-and third-largest economies.

Mr Aso, 77, who is also Japan's Deputy Prime Minister, is expected to discuss with Mr Liu the resurrection and expansion of a currency-swap arrangement at the talks.

While any such agreement is of limited practical importance in itself, the revamped deal would still be significant, as it would reflect the latest warming of ties between Asia's two economic powerhouses.

China is pushing to mend strained relations with its neighbours as it grapples with ramped-up pressure from the United States on trade and security.

"The unilateral trade protectionism of the US hurts a lot of nations," said professor of international relations Liu Jiangyong at Tsinghua University in Beijing, who specialises in Japan studies.

"These countries need to enhance their cooperation, including cooperation between China and Japan, to ease the harm," said Prof Liu.

But deeper cooperation between Beijing and Tokyo on trade or a firm demonstration of unity against US tariffs is unlikely, given historical grievances, different trade bloc visions and a lack of appetite to be seen as teaming up against the US.

The two nations previously had a US$3 billion (S$4 billion) currency swap line that was allowed to lapse in 2013 amid heightened tensions over a group of uninhabited islets, a demonstration of how quickly relations between the North-east Asian neighbours can fray.

Negotiators will discuss a new arrangement of 3 trillion yen (S$36.7 billion), according to a Japanese government official who asked not to be named because the contents of the talks are not public. Kyodo News reported earlier that the two countries would discuss a swap of that amount.

The currency swap deal would follow other modest progress in patching up the bilateral relationship.

During his visit to Japan in May, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe announced a communications mechanism to avoid maritime and air collisions.

But the obstacles to deeper cooperation are formidable. Historical grievances and unresolved territorial disputes still cloud relations between the two countries.

China's sustained economic rise and military modernisation also leave Japan feeling nervous.

"It's certainly possible to have short-run upswings, where things go more smoothly. It's just hard to see how the underlying structural dynamics can change in a way that would produce a more durable shift towards economic integration," said Mr Tobias Harris, vice-president at Teneo Intelligence in Washington.

"I don't think there's the underlying level of trust that you would need to make that possible."

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on August 29, 2018, with the headline China, Japan drawing closer as ties with US fray. Subscribe