Morrison's coalition poised to win outright majority in Parliament

Australia's Prime Minister Scott Morrison with Foreign Minister Marise Payne at a meeting at the Commonwealth Parliament Offices in Sydney yesterday.
Australia's Prime Minister Scott Morrison with Foreign Minister Marise Payne at a meeting at the Commonwealth Parliament Offices in Sydney yesterday.PHOTO: EPA-EFE

Australia's Prime Minister Scott Morrison is set to secure an outright majority in Parliament following an election victory that stunned the nation and sent the share market soaring to its highest level in 11 years yesterday.

As counting from last Saturday's polls continued, the ruling Liberal-National Coalition was on track to win 77 or 78 out of 151 seats in the Lower House, compared with 67 or 68 for Labor, plus five independents and one Green MP.

The coalition's majority is likely to add to the nation's political stability and ensure that the coalition will not need to rely on the support of independent MPs, including several who have called for greater action on climate change.

The government will now be able to pass its 10-year tax cuts unfettered and avoid pressure to adopt a stronger climate policy, though it does not have a majority in the Senate, or Upper House.

Mr Morrison's election victory defied three years of consistent opinion surveys which indicated that the coalition was destined to lose. Despite his underdog status, Mr Morrison ran a disciplined campaign that focused on the economy and raised concerns about Labor's bold, wide-ranging agenda.

Mr Morrison, a devout Christian who presents himself as an unpretentious hard-working father, said he represented "quiet Australians" who wanted the coalition to lower taxes, improve services and avoid the "politics of division".

"They just want to see us get back to work," he told 2GB Radio.

"They've had their say, they've made their decision. Now they expect us to get on with it so they can get on with their lives. That's what the quiet Australia has said and I'm going to honour that."

 
 
 

Mr Morrison must now assemble his new Cabinet, and will then recall Parliament next month to pass his A$158 billion (S$151 billion) 10-year tax cuts. The cuts were the centrepiece of his campaign, but he otherwise ran on a relatively unambitious agenda. His campaign focused on attacking Labor's plans to boost taxes for some property investors and retirees, and to spend significantly more on health and other services.

Analysts credited the coalition victory for a rapid rise in share prices yesterday, as the stock market saw a 1.7 per cent increase, leaving it at its highest level since late 2007. Australia's dollar also rose by about half a cent to 69.2 US cents. The shares of the country's big four banks rose by 6 per cent to 9 per cent.

Commentators said the impact of a Labor victory had been factored into share prices before the election but this was unwound yesterday. Private health insurers had gains of up to 16 per cent because they will no longer face Labor's proposed cap on insurance premium increases for two years.

Mr Morrison's victory follows a tumultuous era in Australian politics, including the ousting by the Liberal party of prime minister Tony Abbott in 2015 and his successor Malcolm Turnbull last year. But the electorate appeared to have forgiven the Liberal chaos due to concerns that Labor's adventurous agenda was potentially risky. "Australians have shown themselves to be cautious about change, susceptible to doubt and to fear," said ABC News commentator Andrew Probyn. "Morrison gambled, correctly, that Australians were a conservative lot who always preferred gradual evolution, not a simultaneous step-change on a number of policy fronts."

Labor leader Bill Shorten announced last Saturday that he will step down, raising questions about the party's direction. His deputy Tanya Plibersek said she will not stand for leadership due to family commitments. So far, only popular Sydney-based MP Anthony Albanese has announced he will run.

A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on May 21, 2019, with the headline 'Morrison's coalition poised to win outright majority in Parliament'. Print Edition | Subscribe