Europe's second wave: News analysis

A hotchpotch of Covid-19 strategies in Europe

European countries are struggling to avoid a second lockdown with a significant rise in new Covid-19 cases.

Britain and Spain are among the worst-hit countries, but their leaders are against reimposing a total lockdown. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson warned against shutting down businesses again, saying this would "ruin the economy and diminish our natural immunity". His Spanish counterpart Pedro Sanchez insisted there were "enough possibilities" to turn the corner again.

Britain is now reporting around 4,000 new cases each day, while Spain earlier this week recorded more than 10,000 in a single day. The situation is alarming in France as well, with roughly over 13,000 in a day.

The worsening situation follows a rather successful containment of the coronavirus, which causes Covid-19, in the summer. On Monday, the World Health Organisation (WHO) published new figures for Europe that showed an 11 per cent increase in new infections. The WHO's regional emergency director for Europe, Dr Dorit Nitzan, described the situation as a "wake-up call".

The reasons for the increase are manifold. For one thing, people are returning to workplaces after their summer vacation and are transmitting the virus. Many have also begun to let their guard down, neglecting personal hygiene and social distancing measures. The WHO says there is strong indication that young people are driving the second surge on the continent. In addition, more testing is contributing to higher numbers as more cases are detected.

But the testing is not being conducted in a uniform manner throughout Europe, an issue picked up during a meeting of the German and French health ministers this week.

While Germany has, from the beginning, adopted prioritised testing, France changed course in July and offered free mass testing. Against the backdrop of mounting infection rates, however, it seems that the government in Paris is now considering reversing course again. In Germany, the goal has been to break the chain of infection so those showing symptoms, their contacts, returning travellers and health personnel are tested first.

Although the numbers are slowly rising again, Germany is still faring comparatively well when it comes to new cases. Since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, the country has registered around 275,000 cases and slightly more than 9,400 deaths. But an increase in some areas has now triggered alarm bells.

In particular, the Bavarian city of Munich is a new hot spot, surpassing the benchmark of more than 50 new infections per 100,000 inhabitants over a period of seven days. If this threshold is exceeded, it will be very difficult to trace the chain of infection. The city administration now wants to make the wearing of masks mandatory, particularly in crowded areas of the city.

Britain and Spain is among the worst-hit countries, but its leaders are against reimposing a total lockdown. PHOTO: AFP

As another precautionary measure, the federal government is also considering introducing a mandatory five-day quarantine period for all returning travellers. A negative test result at the end of the period will mean the traveller need not serve 14 days in quarantine. This new regulation could go into effect in November.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on September 24, 2020, with the headline A hotchpotch of Covid-19 strategies in Europe. Subscribe