Metals head for record prices as global energy crisis affects supply

LONDON • Base metals soared, led by zinc's surge to its highest price since 2007 after European smelters became the latest casualties in a global energy crisis that is knocking supply offline and heaping pressure on manufacturers.

Zinc rose as much as 6.9 per cent on the London Metal Exchange, and a gauge of six industrial metals closed in on an all-time high. Aluminium, one of the most energy-intensive commodities, is at the highest since 2008. Copper bounced closer to the US$10,000 per tonne mark, and spreads are pointing to a sharply tighter market - spot copper contracts are trading at the biggest premium over futures in nearly a decade as global inventories shrink.

Metal supply cuts are spreading from China to Europe, as energy shortages drive up costs for electricity and natural gas, threatening more inflationary pressure from rising commodity prices.

The latest big catalyst came on Wednesday when Nyrstar - one of the biggest zinc producers - said it would cut output at three European smelters by up to 50 per cent due to rising power prices and costs associated with carbon emissions.

So far, the energy crisis has had an outsize impact on supply, but concerns about demand are also rising fast as manufacturers face a simultaneous surge in raw material prices across the board.

The CRB BLS United States raw industrials spot index hit an all-time high on Wednesday, reflecting surging prices for raw materials like hides, tallow and metal scraps that do not trade on futures exchanges.

It is zinc's turn to surge as the energy crisis creates large-scale shutdowns or production cuts at smelters, said Ms Jia Zheng, a trader with Shanghai Dongwu Jiuying Investment Management.

Power curbs are also expanding to China's main zinc-producing provinces, she added.

Some Chinese smelters have already reduced runs as they grapple with an electricity shortage fuelled by record coal prices.

Zinc was up 3.2 per cent to US$3,506.50 a metric tonne on the London Metal Exchange at 2.34pm local time. In Shanghai, prices surged 7.1 per cent, their daily limit, to 25,700 yuan a tonne.

Prices may stay elevated as the energy crisis continues to have an impact on the metals market, researcher Shanghai Metals Market said in a note on Thursday. A surplus in the global zinc market was already expected to narrow next year before the latest cuts, according to the International Lead and Zinc Study Group.

Copper climbed as much as 3.6 per cent to US$9,994.50 a tonne in London amid signs of acute tightness in supply.

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A version of this article appeared in the print edition of The Straits Times on October 16, 2021, with the headline Metals head for record prices as global energy crisis affects supply. Subscribe